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The Historian
The Historian
05:00
0
Q: Did Woodrow Wilson hate the French?

Darshan ChaudharySays Henry Kissinger despite himself When reading his book, Diplomacy, Henry tries hard to pass off Wilson as the messiah who represented the best of American values. But the Messiah’s actions suggest otherwise. To be fair, he had no hand in causing the World War I. However, once it had been foug...

united-states france
 
9 hours later…
T.E.D.
T.E.D.
14:24
I saw it mentioned this morning that the US is now on track to pass the 1918 Flu Pandemic's death toll in the next 100 days.
T.E.D.
T.E.D.
15:08
Worldwide it looks like Covid-19 is about to pass the 1956-58 Flu pandemic as the 6th deadliest known pandemic in history (behind the Black Death, AIDS, the 1918 Flu, and the plagues of Justinian and Antonius)
 
3 hours later…
LаngLаngС
LаngLаngС
17:57
.That is certainly true if you choose the 'right' parameters. And the numbers presented from the US are indeed not good for people > 45 years. But "worldwide"? I don't see that, really. Not just because we count Covid-related eaths in a most braindedly insane manner. (Just recently the pope's personal physician got so ill from cancer that he went to a clinic only to die of Covid.
No, just using these goebbels-counted stats, we see a very varying picture acrosss the world. Be it Japan, Belarus, Sweden etc. A great tool to explore just in comparison with last years is here. But a look at just population-adjusted numbers on Sweden are top notch statistics (with the caveat of the braindead counting otherwise, which isn't such a problem when focussing just on the hard endpoint: mortality);
user image
LаngLаngС
LаngLаngС
18:20
In terms of mortality we often get presented this kind of stat (here from JHU via Google search page):
user image
And yet, in comparison, I'd like someone to explain to me where the pandemic is observable in this graph:
user image
T.E.D.
T.E.D.
18:33
One of the things I've noticed from the US data is that in a lot of places our "excess death" stats show little or sometimes even negative impact.
I'm not the guy to figure that one out, but I highly suspect all the anti-COVID social distancing and masking is preventing a lot of other "normal" deaths, like car accidents, binge drinking realted deaths, flu deaths, etc.
It'll be really interesting once it is properly studied.
 
2 hours later…
LаngLаngС
LаngLаngС
20:04
@T.E.D. For preventing harm, all those measures are a sword with two very sharp edges, only that one side is hardly debated in full & in public. Suice, child abuse, depression, delayed diagnosis & treatment all present a very high toll as well, sometimes well delayed. The drinking seems to be up quite a bit. I heard while everyone stacked bog rolls, the French went in to get vino a`plenty.
But what really bugs me about this is that there is really no systematic effort to properly study this now (or the past year in fact).
T.E.D.
T.E.D.
School shootings are way down too. Many wags have commented that the US has finally figured out the secret to stopping school shootings is to not have school.
LаngLаngС
LаngLаngС
An insane testing regime of asymptomatics keeps up the numbers, yet, a representative monitoring with randomised sampling is largely missing. From our pathology I know that 20% of Covid deaths are going into the stats, despite autopsy showing clearly no causative relationship. Only the devil knows how that number translates into 'not autopsied/died elsewhere'.
We spent this ginormous amount of money, almost all researchers seem to be infected mentally, all join the bandwagon and pump out papers, many of them of extremely low quality, yet the basic first semester stuff of proper study design in epidemiology is all forgotton?
@T.E.D. In the military that logic was applied to 'desertion into the afterlife' when looking at suicides … That school angle is certainly effective.
@T.E.D. While we're at that general angle: when I studied the 18-flu and mortality rates I noticed that Asia was much better off, except for India, and that during 18-Corona Uruguay came out quite well too. I immediately made the connection to Buenos Aires (nice air) only to realise that that's Argentina ;) But really for all the other cases I mentioned there are attempts to analyse, understand, explain, but not for Uruguay?
The Historian
The Historian
20:20
0
Q: Where is the location of this large stump and monument (lighthouse?) background?

PhotolibrarianOn back of photo "Yellow fir 12 ft. dia. monument in background." The photo is from a collection of logging photos from Washington State and British Columbia.

monument forestry identif
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Q: How to track down a Spanish/Latin American soldier that fought in wars internationally (18th/19th century)?

KhashirThe details are scant, but I hope it's enough to get the community interested and a clear answer emerge (there can't be that many people who fit the bill?). I read a long time ago about a famous Spanish/Latin American soldier who fought in several major conflicts in the 18th or 19th century: he f...

military 19th-century 18th-century
LаngLаngС
LаngLаngС
Without too much digging some descriptions still don't match the stats I saw…

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