16:11
@Cerberus I don't recall any kind of a radical conclusion in it. It was back in spring/summer 2014.
My impression was that "Russia has no clear-cut policy in the former -stan republics".
And it has benefitted from the US invasion, because in the runup to 2001 Russia was spending more and more to shore up the defences of Tajikistan.
It was one big headache less.
After the 9/11, there was a big discussion session of top brass military, security and Putin. They voted, and the majority voted against providing the USA any help in transporting the NATO troops into Afghanistan and back.
Putin overrulled the majority, and provided the USA with transportation help and did not make any moves to prevent the USA from establishing military bases in the -stan republics of the former USSR.
There was even one transit NATO station inside Russia itself, but the Communist Party of Russia staged protests, and the station was never used.
Putin wanted to use his influence with the NATO to set up some kind of New Yalta Agreement, under which his authoritarian rule would be respected and Russia would "influence" former USSR states.
This got especially urgent after the Orange Revolution in Ukraine in 2004.
Then he saw that no Yalta Agreement was forthcoming, and gradually started the whole anti-NATO-expansion paranoia.
Shutting down foreign ogranizations in Russia under different pretexts to counterdict their "influence".
In Yekaterinburg, there was the British Library where people could go and borrow a book in English, browse the Internet for free, and discuss different things with visiting foreigners.
It was shut down in mid-2000s
There were traincars in Yekaterinburg criss-crossed with British Union Jack and adverts saying come and borrow books etc.
It all started being suppressed after the Orange Revolution.
But very, very gradually.
And I tried to read into Russia's policy in regard to Central Asia, and basically I decided that it was a catastrophy, with zero professionals and no kind of any policy.
Russia just tried to wage influence by shutting down gas pipes and giving money, and turning pipes back on, and withholding money.
Central Asian common people were very pro-Russian, because they did not like their corrupt regimes, but Russia has failed to use this.
Even many Afghan people are pro-Russian, thankful for houses and factories built by the USSR during the occupation. And a degree of civil order maintained by Soviet troops.
My sister told me that an Afghan guy studying at the University was very pro-Russian and anti-USA.
Human beings are strange.