13:14
@CowperKettle I never actually addressed the general question posed by the article which is "is this a 'new' intelligence and is it 'ominous'?". I will immediately ignore that and start with an analogy (which, as I have stated before, is in general a poor method of argument (you have to support both the transfer -and- the logic of the new area).
Any new technology I like to compare to the situation with horses and cars. Horses were great but they have problems. Cars are awesome, not at all like horses, have their own problems, but can go farther and longer and faster than you can imagine a horse could.
Where are all the horses? WWI and WWII killed a lot of them off (but their population was dropping precipitously before then just by market being taken over by cars.
Rich people and enthusiast still ride horses, but nearly everyone has or has access to a car.
Cars are not horses, but they do things that horses used to do but much much better.
Calling ChatGPT-o1 a 'new kind of intelligence' is like calling a car a fancy metal horse.
Also, many of the things ChatGPT-o1 can do can be done by other mechanical means (what's awesome about ChatGPT-o1 is that it has slightly better management of logic, by passing on logical processing of language statements to a separate logic processor and then taking that and fitting the output of that statistically to language which we can read).
A lot of AI talk anthropomorphizes these computations badly, which usually ends up making us generalize the results wildly out of possibility. These programs just do not have the live real world motivations that humans have (cars don't move like horses run, cars can't drive over hilly, rocky, rugged terrain like horses can). And frankly I don't think we want these AI programs to have emotions or motivated reasoning.
It's hard enough raising a child in real life... giving that kind of experience to a computer program might have unintended consequences.
But luckily no one is doing that.
And even if they did, it would just be to teach the robot how to walk, not how to take revenge on that kid who stole your favorite pencil when you were 6.
And frankly you were mistaken, it was actually his pencil that you stole from him.
Now that's a Star Trek episode waiting to be written.