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2:00 AM
The red dot is a breach.
The green line is water flowing over the dike but not breaching it.
The purple is the flood.
 
Hm
They do this on the Mississippi.
Lower.
 
Presumably, an unbreachable dike is not that much more expensive.
 
Not much on upper, thought they sometimes need it.
But they do virtually none of that here. It is not supposed to happen here. On average, it doesn't — within one human lifetime. But it is guaranteed to occur.
 
It all depends on how much money you are prepared to spend to protect how many people / property.
 
There is about a 50% chance of a 1/100 per year event happening in 70 years.
 
2:04 AM
No higher?
Or lower?
 
There is only a 7% chance of a 1/1000 event in 70 years.
 
I don't even know how to calculate that...
 
Simple math. (1/100) ** 70.
 
"with conventional dike"
 
?
 
2:05 AM
(999/1000) ** 70 = .93236116492191258599
 
@cornbreadninja麵包忍者 Ah, yes. Very good!
 
(99/100) ** 70 = .49483865960020725986
 
Photo #133. It's not a door jam. That's something else.
 
(checking)
@MετάEd Don’t understand. You mean this Photo #133?
It’s too easy for us here in Boulder County to forget there are 13 other disastered counties. I hadn’t realized Evergreen had had it so bad. I have a friend/coworker there I’ve talked to about the situation, and he only has basement issues like me, and hadn’t mentioned the downtown problems.
Never just insurance people.
That’s from today in Boulder.
 
2:14 AM
Nice truck!
We have no old-fashioned fire trucks any more, only ugly ones.
 
That’s an insurance vehicle, not a real fire truck anymore.
Only the old little towns ever still have those.
You see them in Fourth-of-July parades and stuff up in the prosaic little mountain hamlets.
The truck was at 190 Araphoe. 000 = Mountains.
The closer to the mountains you were, the worse the damage. The kids died over between 2nd and 4th street on Linden.
I live at about 5th.
Not positive where they died. But the 4th-street intersection was the worst, and leading back up towards the mountains.
People hugged up against the mountains are in a great bit of hurt right now.
 
It's number 140 now. I hate it when links change.
 
Oh.
Looks like a ministep and doorjam to me. Which part do you mean?
 
I have reloaded the page and now what was #141 is #148, I think.
Don't they know people link to things?
It's a doorjamb.
Doorjam is what you get when you put your door in a blender and add sugar and pectin.
 
True.
This is Linden two blocks from me, where the kids died.
 
2:27 AM
I'd keep my daughter close too.
Dammit, the links changed again.
 
Yeah, what’s going on?
 
Bad!
 
Probably the new photos are being posted at the top of the stack, numbered from 1.
 
I don't even understand what I'm looking at.
 
In other words, stupidity.
 
2:31 AM
@Cerberus Well, the links have captions explaining them.
But if I post a link, it moves. The pix don’t.
Maybe they are updating?
 
@tchrist How did the water take that much land, if it's not even a breach?
 
That’s the Linden picture.
@Cerberus Ahah! Yes, I see the conceptual problem here.
So that is what all our mountain roads look like now.
Your water is slow water, dawdling along.
 
@tchrist They need to update by adding new sequence numbers at the end.
 
Ours has just run down a steep slope two miles lower at the bottom than at the top. Do you know what happens to a mass that falls two miles?
 
But the water is not flowing over the land on the left at all.
 
2:33 AM
F=ma
 
@tchrist Einstein explained that one. A whole lot of energy gained.
 
It is terrible.
 
Gravity works.
Never be on the wrong side of gravity.
 
@Cerberus It doesn’t have to flow over it to destroy it, silly!
 
Nor does the water seem to approach the broken-off land from anywhere near a straight angle.
So it seems a rather random point to destroy.
So there must be something that we cannot see.
 
2:35 AM
It merely smashes against it with repeated force, undermining it.
 
But why there and not 50 m away, somewhere else?
 
@Cerberus I don’t think so. I don’t understand why you think this is odd.
 
Break me off a piece of that blacktop road. :(
 
@Cerberus Who knows? Maybe a bend
 
@Cerberus Because the creek bed curves there.
And the water really, really wants to go straight.
 
2:36 AM
 
@MετάEd Must be something like that.
 
@tchrist Jesus Q. Butterfat.
 
@tchrist Is that from LotR?
 
@MετάEd And is used to getting its way.
@Cerberus Here, of course. Biblical destruction at times.
 
Nah, looks more like Hollywood special effects.
 
2:38 AM
@tchrist The Biblical flood was, of course, bigger.
 
@MετάEd Unclear.
 
That couldn't possibly be real, it's too extreme.
 
@Cerberus You live in a quiet subdued place, where the forced of nature are mere wisps. I don’t.
 
Pull your finger out of the dike.
 
It's a lie!
Geoguesser promised me it looked different, no cataclism.
 
2:42 AM
 
The Black Sea deluge is a hypothesized catastrophic rise in the level of the Black Sea circa 5600 BC due to waters from the Mediterranean Sea breaching a sill in the Bosporus Strait. The hypothesis made headlines when The New York Times published it in December 1996, shortly before it was published in an academic journal. While it is agreed that the sequence of events described did occur, there is debate over the suddenness, dating and magnitude of the events. Two opposing hypotheses have arisen to explain the rise of the Black Sea: gradual, and oscillating. The oscillating hypothesis speci...
 
Yup, know about that one.
 
@tchrist That is a great photo.
 
Innit?
 
Just watch that first step.
 
2:43 AM
Is that the corner of a car?
 
You know the oncoming cars will never see their doom.
It is.
With the ped-crossing sign.
 
So what was that, a landslide or something?
 
No.
Just water.
 
Really? Weird.
 
Not here.
That’s what water does.
Visit the Grand Canyon, carved by the mighty Colorado.
 
2:44 AM
That's different.
This is like a knife cut.
 
Whose flow Boulder Creek matched yesterday morning.
Just an undercut.
Happens during these times of deluge.
 
Like that!
That's weird.
I had no idea something like that could happen under circumstances like those. Unless there was an especially soft patch of earth there?
 
Nope.
Water does that when it falls two miles. You would, too.
 
@tchrist Don't underestimate the wisp.
 
2:48 AM
@Cerberus More likely an especially hard patch. The water can be turned, but not stopped. Here it turned toward the road.
 
@tchrist I saw that one. It struck me as really dumb to build a road as one bank of a riverbed.
 
But what choice had they?
How do you think they get up the canyons, and where do you think the canyons came from?
 
They should have cut in about twenty feet higher.
 
Maybe.
There’s another one for @Cerb.
Ex-road. Very ex.
It’s why the mountain people are utterly cut off except for the military choppers. ALL mountain roads are that way right now.
 
2:53 AM
 
The people ones are heart-breaking.
I find that the rest of the country has no idea how bad this is.
 
2:57 AM
Her expression is worth a thousand words.
 
It is.
That’s my highway, US-36 leading north from my place to Lyons.
It isn’t just the road that is gone.
Is is the entire roadbed and the land itself.
 
Okay now the story has 201 pictures. It was 211 earlier. They're deleting.
 
cpx
Guys, which tense am I using when I say "My work is done here". I doubt it's simple present but it doesn't matches with rules.
 
“Is” is present tense.
Reminds me of Katrina.
 
cpx
I thought present tense was used to describe habitual or on going actions like "I go to school".
 
3:01 AM
 
cpx
What are those images?
 
Colorado.
The Front Range catastrophe.
Live 70 years, and you have a 7% chance of seeing it.
The homes and business no one will pay to fix: no insurance covers this.
 
cpx
@tchrist present progressive?
 
@cpx No.
 
3:03 AM
@tchrist The government will, no doubt?
@cpx It is a present perfect.
 
@Cerberus No.
Disaster relief usually just backs loans.
You are fucked.
Many many many thousands of people.
 
The passive form of the present perfect, but with a more or less active meaning, because the verbs go and do are special.
 
It’s all gone.
 
@tchrist Really? Why? So the people flooded by Katrina also had to pay everything back?
 
cpx
@Cerberus Really? I never knew. I thought present perfect has to do with either have or has.
 
3:05 AM
We’re through. We’re finished. Our whole repertoire’s diminished.
We are forced to state conclusively our program’s exhausted, washed up, and phased out.
 
@cpx For most verbs, the passive is has been x.
 
But a few verbs have is x, where x is the past participle.
@cornbreadninja麵包忍者 Yeah that can happen...
 
@Cerberus The bad happens on both ends.
 
3:07 AM
> SEPTEMBER 13: A rock slide covers Boulder Canyon through the narrows portion of Boulder Canyon along Hwy 119 near Nederland, CO on September 13, 2013. People living in mountain communities from Nederland all the way to Estes Park are basically cut off from the front range with all major roadways and canyons flooded out or completely blown out from the massive water in Boulder County on September 13, 2013.
 
Misappropriation across the board.
 
Only the Chinooks and Blackhawks get in or out.
 
@cornbreadninja麵包忍者 Hmm?
 
I cannot imagine how many people are affected.
 
cpx
@Cerberus I see. Thanks for it. :) I've got to do some reading I guess.
 
3:08 AM
And that isn’t even counting the Katrina devastation out on the plains.
 
@cpx That's the problem with language, there are always lots of exceptions!
 
This is on Linden by me:
And people wonder why kids died.
 
cpx
Actually I couldn't find a grammar book which explains tenses in depth.
 
Past. Present. Done.
 
@Cerberus The government gives debit cards to the wrong people, and the right people spend them on stupid crap instead of sundries and food.
 
3:11 AM
Ugh.
 
@tchrist what's going on in the background?
 
@cornbreadninja麵包忍者 Dam overflowing.
 
 
1 hour later…
4:32 AM
Hi
@tchrist I hope you are safe.
How's the flood going?
 
5:08 AM
@Noah Ironic.
 
 
2 hours later…
7:37 AM
Hi
Is "in compare to" correct?
 
no
it is "in comparison to"
 
@tchrist I find the ones with mud indoors the most heart-breaking. The outdoor pics are humbling.
 
 
1 hour later…
9:02 AM
Steve Jobs: "Listen perfectly clear, Bill. So when I am finished, you can still see
through those thick pretentious glasses, you psychopathic unimaginable
criminal. You stole my software. I can prove it at court. And I will sue you
for every cent you have ever made and I will make it my life's mission to see
you ever make another dollar that I don't first take 90 cents!"
Bill is just a psychopathic unimaginable guy wearing a pair of thick pretentious glasses. ok?
 
9:31 AM
@JasonMarsh And then Bills receives a blue screen of death error and when he's restarted he blames Steve for trying to strangle him.
At that point, Steve realizes that his processor has stopped responding and goes into coma.
 
 
4 hours later…
1:29 PM
Oh my god. All American food contains some form of corn in them, so technically all Americans have corn in their blood stream right now!! =( CORN
CORN CORN
omg this video is so funny...
 
1:41 PM
2
Q: Too many up-votes

Mari-Lou ASomebody out there in ELU land likes me. Which is really nice but this is getting a bit over-the-top. I'm getting a flood of up-votes in rapid succession, one after another. Take a look at my reputation chart and you'll see what I mean. This is day two. I could just keep quiet and bask in the gl...

I don't know how to vote on this?
 
2:12 PM
Looked like it was going to be cold and rainy today, great I thought and went for a chanterelle hike. The cold did not last long.
 
@JasonMarsh Believe it or not, those are not typical Americans. (Unless you live in Houston, perhaps, but Texas tends not to consider itself part of the U.S. anyway.) I rarely see people that fat in everyday life. Not even close. When I do, it is startling.
 
2:31 PM
@JasonMarsh have you seen Food inc.?
 
2:58 PM
@cyberskull ha.
@Mahnax I got some Ethiopian beans from these folks and they sure are tasty.
 
@cornbreadninja麵包忍者 Coffee?
 
@JohanLarsson yes.
Whole beans.
 
you eat them au natural?
 
The people taste terrible.
I did eat one last night before making my first coffee with it.
 
Is it much tastedifference using beans compared to powder?
 
3:07 PM
@JohanLarsson it's ideal to grind the beans right before using them
 
I've never done it
 
Mahnax could tell you more off the top of his head, I bet.
 
probably hard to quantify the difference over the Internet
hos do you store the beans?
 
In a tall plastic container with a screw-on top, but glass is probably better for them.
 
and they stay fresh for a couple of weeks like that?
feel i should give it a try
not much effort
 
3:25 PM
Raining very heavily again now. Rivers are expected to come crashing down on us again by noon.
 
It's seriously pouring again.
 
Again?
 
Stay inside and watch football.
 
@cyberskull Football is played with feet and a ball right?
 
3:35 PM
@JohanLarsson NFL
 
misnomer imo
 
What do you think this is?
 
a car
 
Nope.
 
>8(
 
3:41 PM
I'm sorry.
But it does move, yes.
It is: the fastest (non-motor) bike in the world.
It can go 133 km/h.
The exterior is for aerodynamics.
 
How many riders?
 
One.
Lying on his back.
 
link please
 
In the first video, you can see his coming out of the bike.
 
Thank you :D
 
3:46 PM
Second video, you can see it racing.
 
cool
 
So that was my input for the day.
 
thanks for sharing
 
Thanks for clicking.
2
 
:-)
 
3:52 PM
@cyberskull I’m a programmer, and I'm a Boulderite. Which means that spectating is not a sport and I of course have no TV anyway.
 
Just stay inside...
 
It rains here.
And for the next four days.
 
With our road closures, it’d be hard to get anywhere anyway.
Now at 500 unaccounted for.
 
Don't become a statistic.
 
My neighborhood has had more than enough of those already. It's a dangerous place, especially for people who do dumb things.
 
3:59 PM
Think of your safety first.
 
@cornbreadninja麵包忍者 Oh, it’s moving?
 

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