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00:36
@Jolenealaska So one thing to keep in mind is that I assume it'll be like last time, where it'll start off looking good for the GOP, but will lean more towards DEM as night goes on.
Which I think is due to a combination of red states reporting sooner and mail in ballots (counted last) tend to favour democrats
Also, if it helps @Jolenealaska, supposedly the trump campaign believes they're losing tonight, based on reports of their internal polling.
@Wipqozn yeah, I've seen a lot of what looks like doom from the magats. I also believe the 'quiet wife' demographic will put us over the line. I've been saying that for months. I'm still more freaked out than I have ever been in my entire life.
00:54
@Wipqozn some of that has gotten better and some has gotten worse: brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/…
Here's the tldr from that by chatGPT:
1. **Michigan**: Allowed early processing of mail ballots up to eight days before Election Day for jurisdictions with over 5,000 people, enabling faster results. Expanded in-person early voting and streamlined the process for early in-person ballots to be counted immediately on election night.

2. **Arizona**: Added a new step requiring the counting and reporting of ballots dropped off on Election Day at voting locations before transporting them for processing, potentially slowing results, especially in populous counties.
Polls just closed in Pennsylvania
Holy shit AP has called Pennsylvania blue- somebody messed up cuz if you go to the AP website it just says 3% counted, but big time lead for Harris
01:10
They tend to call them at low counts based on what they gather from multiple sources
I am looking at the ap site and it isn't called yet
01:21
It isn't, not even close. It briefly turned the wrong color blue for like 30 seconds.
Florida defeats measure to legalize marijuana
NBC is going to start releasing exit polls in 5 minutes. I need to calm down I'm about to have a stroke. nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/exit-polls
My state closes in 35 minutes and 1 of our votes might go to harris, well I think it is safe that it will
Well hello fellow midwesterner. I grew up an Iowa girl, and I spent a lot of my childhood near Ogallala with my grandparents
Unbelievable that a lot of eyes are on Iowa right now
I am hopeful for the state as it has gone blue in the recent past
@Jolenealaska Florida is a 💩💩💩
> Latino men are breaking for former President Donald Trump over Harris 54 percent to 44 percent, according to an NBC News exit poll. The outlet called it a "major reversal" from four years ago, when Latino men supported Joe Biden by a whopping 59 percent to 36 percent.
@JoeW I would cry happy tears to see it. I'm not sure, he's never told me, but I believe Obama was the first time my Republican dad ever voted for a republican for president. He has absolutely voted against Trump at every opportunity.
1988, 1992, 1996, 2000, 2008, 2012
those are years a democrat won
The Senate Prospect was dim before we started. That's all right
01:42
Hmm
We'll get another crack at it in 2 years
As long as we get the house!
🤧🙏🏻
And the presidency!
Black men and Latino votes have shifted greatly to Trump. This is worrying.
So against their own interests. Tragic.
01:45
😭
10 hours ago, by User1865345
> Jessica Mendoza, 35, voted for Trump. “I have two kids and I really just want to see a change for them and a better future,” she said “We’re also Christians so we voted with our morals as well.”
Brainwashed
15 mins ago, by User1865345
@Jolenealaska Florida is a 💩💩💩
My landlord when I was in that hellish room for rent situation for almost a year is physically disabled with medical problems a mile long who was married to a veteran who only served 2 years. She is on every benefit program available, and she finds them and exploits them to the max. She believes in her heart that things will be better for her under Trump.
> Pam said her main issue was the current administration’s handling of the economy. She believes Trump can get the country back on track.

“I think I needed to this time to help,” Pam said of voting in 2024. “And hopefully he’ll [Trump] win."
🤯🤮
@Jolenealaska my god. This country needs proper and correct information. So much misinformation and propaganda. The right wing media is efficient at this.
> Joe Biden beat Trump by seven points in 2020 in the state’s most-populous county. Some pundits have said the Miami-Dade result could be a bellwether for Harris’s performance among Latino voters.
This is ominous. Not looking good at all.
AP just called Florida for Trump
Guardian called it long ago.
It's a hopeless state.
So far no state has been called that didn't go as expected, right?
01:55
@Jolenealaska hm
> Fani Willis, the Georgia prosecutor who brought racketeering charges against former President Donald Trump over his effort to overturn the 2020 presidential election, cruised to re-election on Tuesday night, according to reports.
@User1865345 well that's excellent news
That's an excellent sign
That could be a glimmer of hope.
A whole lot of AP results just dropped
And still no surprises
Virginia is scaring me
Kansas and Missouri have a pretty light blue hue
First results for Iowa are coming in pink
> Trump just pulled ahead in Virginia, by a few thousand votes. Harry already pointed to a dramatic Harris underperformance so far in Loudon, but she's also underperforming in Fairfax, Arlington and Prince William counties. A ton of vote still out there, but this is one of those '16 flashback moments for Dems, who saw VA as an early canary in the coal mine even though Clinton went on to win by 5 points.
So still no surprises
We're still at it's all on Pennsylvania
God damn it Virginia! You're killing me here!
> Big picture GA currently, via one of the brilliant tools CNN's New Media team built for our Magic Wall: Harris is outperforming Biden's '20 results by 3% or more in 10 counties. Trump is outperforming his '20 results in more than 30. It's early and the amount of votes reported in those groups varies a lot. But just putting that marker down for the moment.
AP just turned Minnesota pink
02:10
> Sen. Sherrod Brown needs to hang on to his seat in Ohio to give Democrats a chance at keeping the majority. He's running ahead of Harris, at the moment, but he's in a neck-and-neck fight with Republican Bernie Moreno. About half the vote in. If he loses, Dem chances at keeping the Senate could vanish.
@Jolenealaska 🤞🏻🤞🏻
Harris will win Delaware, CNN projects
I'm glad there's no booze in the house.
I almost got some and then I remembered that I bought vodka for the presidential debate with Biden and Trump ended up getting drunk and missing it and look what happened
@Jolenealaska 😂
Senator Brown, he is still fighting.
Virginia Wisconsin Minnesota New Mexico all pink. I'm losing it
02:17
> So far, Trump is doing what he needs to in Georgia and North Carolina. Obviously, we'll continue to count votes, but if the Georgia and North Carolina trends continue, then Harris almost certainly needs to carry Pennsylvania.
😭😭😭
Iowa just turned light blue!
🥺🤞🏻🤞🏻
But it doesn't matter.
Trump might win NC and Georgia.
This night is going to be way long.
@User1865345 knew it was going to happen but still disappointing
@Jolenealaska Some of those are still at 0% votes
Thanks Joe I needed that
Our polls don't even close for another 2 and 1/2 hours. I'm pretty sure it's happened that the election has been called before our last voter votes.
AP called Nebraska red. has it called the District that we expect to go Blue?
In NC, among many of the eastern black counties, early trend shows Trump is outperforming.
It just called the state wide votes
The districts are not yet called
wait district 3 was called for Trump
The other two are leaning Harris so far
02:27
So much for a massive blowout for Harris. It was a nice fantasy while it lasted.
Still way too early to conclude anything. But so far, my senses are not giving good vibes. Could be a Trump presidency.
> Trump is so far overperforming his '20 results in NC in 20 counties - by significant margins in some of his SE strongholds. Also currently leading Anson County by 2+ points with 92% reported - Biden won that county by 4.2 points - and overperforming in Union County next door.
Are we looking for another popular vote and electoral college contradiction? Might be. If so, another stab in democracy by the archaic electoral college.
Ted Cruz is ahead with a narrow lead.
My god. This slime is elected again and again.
Maine Wisconsin Minnesota and Virginia are absolutely killing me
Considering how we still let a few small states control the primary system I don't think the electoral college is going away
Oh Jesus Christ New Mexico flipped back pink
@JoeW America is f*cked.
02:36
Okay Wisconsin's light light pink again
One person, one vote. Every damn country follows this. Why should America be an outlier? This nonsense would again let another Trump presidency.
What is Guardian following? They are calling states way ahead than any other. 🙄
As results come in I'm comparing them to this map, ping me if a winner is declared that is other than this map, please? I have got to get some work done in the next hour.
> The NBC News Exit Poll found that 51% of suburban white women cast votes for Trump this election year compared to 56% in 2020, a loss of 5 percentage points for Trump.
@Jolenealaska not seeing any difference at a glance compared to the states that were called.
I'm looking at the district map right now in Virginia. Good God. Picasso could not have come up with something so weird.
🤣🤣
02:48
Electoral College-Boo! Gerrymandering-BOO! Corrupt Supreme Court-BOO! That things are so God damn scary right now-BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
My god. Another four years of late night hosts taking a dig at Trump. I think time has come to call what it is: supporters of MAGA are garbage. Yeh, Biden said it right. Clinton said it right.
All right I'm going to stop freaking out about Maine. Only 4% of districts have reported and they use ranked choice. That makes it less scary.
@User1865345 but Harris has the right attitude. If she wins, the maggots will be her constituents, and she will treat them accordingly. Too bad the same thing can't be said for Trump.
> Trump will win Louisiana, CNN projects
> Trump wins in Kansas, NBC News projects
AP still hasn't called Kansas. Sorry to see it go, it was a pretty light blue for a while.
yep low vote count at that time
02:57
Virginia on the other hand is it 60% and it's still 50.1 / 48.2
> Va- The count will start with early votes, mailed absentee ballots, and Election Day results once the polls close.
Election officials will then count provisional ballots and absentee ballots that were postmarked by Election Day but received afterward.
Oregon just popped up pink. Good grief, it really is a good thing I don't have any booze.
And Iowa just went from light blue to pink
Pennsylvania just went pink! Damn it!
46% reporting
1.1% spread
Colorado is called for blue
03:15
Don't forget some states flipped from Trump to Biden later in the week in 2020
@JoeW I don't think there would that much delay. But yes, have to wait.
Just a reminder that what the votes look like so far might change as they count more votes later this week
Hm
Some of the deep red states.
Trump wins Iowa.
Oh no. Oh. I was really hoping for Iowa.
Nothing to say.
03:21
I really wish I was feeling better than I am right now
It hasn't been called on my screens yet
Again there is whole lot of things to be counted. But I am not at all positive.
While Senate may become clear, House would take days.
What if GOP captures presidency as well as Congress? Damn.
AP is only showing 39% reported, although with a six-point spread
> Harris is winning the county of Biden's native Scranton by 3 points. That's a good 5 points behind Biden's 2020 performance and looks a lot more like 2016. Another underperformance for Harris in Pennsylvania, a state she almost certainly needs to win.
She is underperforming badly.
@User1865345 If all three go red, I'm not sure I can go on from that
03:24
> Diving back into PA, where Trump now has a 68,000+ vote lead and its status as the most important state on the map solidifies by the minute. Trump is so far overperforming his '20 results by 3 or more points in 20 counties currently and the vast majority are Trump counties where Biden cut into Trump's '16 margins on his way to flipping the state.
@Jolenealaska so far, it's looking bleak. Really bleak.
🤧🤮
@User1865345 Son of a bitch.
@User1865345 well there's a bellwether!
At least Virginia is light blue again. But shit, Pennsylvania is looking really bleak.
I won't say anything bad. But it's starting to look hopeless.
@Jolenealaska if she loses Pennsylvania, it's virtually over.
Arizona, Nevada are going to Trump. Georgia, NC also most plausibly. If Pennsylvania also goes red, that's it.
> As Yogi Berra once said (supposedly): “It's déjà vu all over again." Trump holds leads in GA, NC, and now in PA -- but there are still plenty of votes to be counted for Harris to come back. For instance, Trump has now taken the lead in Pennsylvania by 58,000 votes. But at this exact point in 2020, Trump led by 200,000 votes. Looks like a long night -- and maybe some days after that.
Democrat Tim Kaine wins re-election to the U.S. Senate in Virginia, NBC News projects
She's down 111,116 in PA right now
Trump wins three of five Electoral College votes in Nebraska, NBC News projects
@Jolenealaska PA is going red.
> Allyson DeFelice, 49, a property agent from Delray Beach, Florida, said it is “amazing” to be at Donald Trump’s election watch party: “I’ve been waiting for this for four years.”

DeFelice predicted a Trump victory “hands down”, adding: “Some of the main concerns for everybody over the last four years have been inflation, price of goods, gas, everything that’s going on at the border. The Democrats destroyed what he built up in this country. Even during Covid he still managed to rebuild the economy afterwards and they just destroyed it.”
Democrats destroyed what he built up in this country -- credit goes to right wing media for efficient brainwashing.
This nation is f*cked up. Till there is Fox, nothing good can happen.
This would be final golden ticket for Trump.
03:42
AP has the entire blue wall Pink right now
🙂
This is pathetic
AP called Iowa
Republican Kelly Ayotte wins New Hampshire governor race, NBC News projects
Senator Josh Hawley, backer of Trump's election denialism, secures second term
Trump is ahead in Wisconsin.
🙄
Colorado passes amendment protecting abortion access and requiring insurance coverage
Trump is ahead in the entire blue wall Minnesota Wisconsin Michigan and Pennsylvania
Hmmm
Everything is faltering.
03:49
Michigan and Wisconsin are still real early in the count but Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are closing in
Trump wins Georgia
I think we can all agree Trump is returning.
I won't say it until a blue wall state is called
I have to think about how to deal another four years of Trump.
I wonder how much of a difference Elon Musk made?
My brain is not working right now.
NBC News Exit Poll: Trump has an edge with late-deciding voters
> That suggests that to the degree that there was backlash to a comedian's disparaging remarks about Puerto Rico at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally just over a week ago, it did not result in his losing those who decided on their votes in the past week.
04:00
I could not have imagined this day growing up.
> Harris pulls ahead in Milwaukee. More votes came into Dane, bumping her margin there up a tick. But with 85% of the vote in, Dems simply need to do better - and have some places to do so, particularly in Milwaukee.
@Jolenealaska I don't believe in God. For good reasons. Today is one such.
Senate is officially GOP's.
Trump is ahead in Arizona.
I don't believe in God in any way that anyone is ever taught, but I do have a spiritual core. If there is an eternal war between good and evil, it will continue to go on after Trump takes office. But I think I've been squashed like a bug.
Donald Trump wins in Idaho
@Jolenealaska I have no hope for this country. People will elect Trump. If they can't discern between a good and bad candidate, live under the hood of misinformation, easily swayed by fear mongering and propaganda, I have no bope for this nation.
Democrat Shomari Figures wins U.S. House seat in Alabama's 2nd congressional district, NBC News projects
Pennsylvania is nearly mathematically certain. 72% reporting
3.5% spread
It's over there.
Democrat Martin Heinrich wins re-election to the Senate in New Mexico.
Democrat Adam Schiff wins U.S. Senate race in California, NBC News projects
04:16
Democracy was a failed experiment of the 19th 20th and 21st centuries
It's not even close. He will have the Senate, the house, a supreme court in his pocket, and a fucking electoral mandate
Yes.
Looking like the worst defeat for Democrats.
Absolutely chilling.
Harris wins Oregon
Allan Lichtman said his prediction will only fail if there is serious erosion of faith on democracy.
You got your answer, Allan.
Trump wins North Carolina
Rep. Rob Menendez Jr., son of embattled Sen. Bob Menendez, wins re-election
I wonder how many people will off themselves tonight
Last time Trump won an election we broke the Canadian immigration website.
It's ugly. It's pathetic.
Blue wall is crumbling.
Oh my God this is bleak.
At this point of the night, it is the same story in state after state. Trump is hitting or exceeding his benchmarks in counties where 95%+ of the vote is in
He is winning fair and square. Propaganda and misinformation won.
Democrat Maria Cantwell wins re-election to the Senate in Washington, NBC News projects
04:30
The one silver lining is that at least this will be a peaceful transfer
NBC News Exit Poll: First-time voters lean toward Trump in a reversal from 2020
@Jolenealaska yeh. Peaceful demise of democracy or whatever was left of it.
NBC News Exit Poll: First-time voters lean toward Trump in a reversal from 2020
> Latino voter shift fuels Ted Cruz's re-election victory
Julie Johnson becomes first out LGBTQ candidate in the South elected to Congress
Harris wins in Connecticut, NBC News projects
Democrat Amy Klobuchar wins re-election to the U.S. Senate in Minnesota, NBC News projects
Trump is ahead in Michigan.
Julie Johnson, may God have mercy on your soul
I can take some pleasure in the fact that Kari Lake is losing. Trump will probably name her Minister of Truth.
Trump ally Lauren Boebert wins House seat after changing Colorado district
@Jolenealaska the country will be moving backward in an unfathomable way under Trump, now that he will have control of all the Congress and Supreme Court.
They're all celebrating right now. They're counting it up too... Senate house presidency Supreme Court Elon Musk friends with Putin friends with Kim power power power
This room was placed in timeout for 5 minutes; mandatory 5 minute break, please take a lap, go get some water, etc.
The problem is that's not visible to diamonds so timestamp xx:45 ish
04:45
@Unionhawk thanks for that 😭
I forgot to drink for past 1.5 hours.
Harris just took Virginia. Gee, it seems like just a year ago that I was stressing about it being pink
Democrat Bob Ferguson wins Washington governor race, NBC News projects
Harris wins New Mexico
I don't know why they haven't put us out of our misery and called Pennsylvania yet. 81% reporting, four point spread.
> it's pretty clear that Harris must over-perform in those Democratic bastions. Otherwise, how does this math work? It's not that the math can't ultimately work for her, but it requires just what you said for it to work: over-performances in Democratic bastions.
@Jolenealaska miserable. Even Minnesota is too close to call.
> Scores of people are silently leaving the Yard at Howard University. No one has addressed the crowd. The Harris campaign has been radio silent to this crowd of supporters who arrived with a spirit of jubilation and are leaving with a sense of disbelief and dejection.
@User1865345 this post sponsored by this runelite plugin, which sends you a broadcast message about how dehydration causes fatigue etc every 20 minutes runelite.net/plugin-hub/show/hydrate-reminder
which, how does it only have 5k installs what the heck
04:53
@Unionhawk wow 😅
Missouri votes to raise the minimum wage
Alaska did too
If they are passing progressive measures, why then elect MAGA?
Or will, I mean. Da fuq? I'm losing it.
> The mood has certainly shifted at the Kamala HQ. The crowd is quiet. The TV is tuned to CNN as Trump appears to be in a strong position to reclaim the White House.
Yeah. Progressive measures and Trump. It makes no goddamn sense except that his Celebrity Apprentice persona hypnotized people and half the country just gave up everything.
World, from the bottom of my heart, I'm sorry.
05:01
India reduced the majority of Hindu fascist Modi. France elected the New Left. Britain elected Labour.
You see that? Only one nation in the world - the great USA is f*cking things up.
Harris wins Hawaii
Democrats flip two competitive House seats: Alabama's 2nd District and New York's 22nd District.
Pennsylvania spread is down to less than three with 84% reporting
I regret checking in while I woke up to pee
Things are about as bleak as things can be
remember that it did take days last time
and was listening to Phillip DeFranco that some places are reporting it might take a week
05:18
It may take a while for a network to call the election, but there is no hope at this point.
Unless we find out that something dishonest has happened, there is no mathematical way that we have Pennsylvania.
And Wisconsin and Michigan are not looking good. Trump is going to have the Senate, the House, and most of the Judiciary including the Supreme Court while doing the bidding of Putin, Kim and Xi.
@Jolenealaska thank you, USA. You have given a race to the Germans of 1930s.
05:42
Even worse. This time the Germans of the 30s are good old buddies with Stalin.
Why I am still awake. I cannot watch this anymore.
Listen alright it'll be fine
Georgia will flip and PA will go blue
I'm huffing that sweet copium
To paraphrase, this is one small step for him to walk back into the white house and one Giant step backwards for Democracy.
@Wipqozn it's bad. Really bad. The Stupidest Greatest nation of the world just killed democracy.
@Spevacus I would have loved to live in that earth, but without sounding rude, wake up. 🙂
@think_meaning_builds absolutely
This is the victory of misinformation, fear mongering and propaganda. Fox won.
How can you explain there were people who didn't even know Biden was not in the ballots?
How can one explain this level of idiocy?
USA is a dying nation. It's a mockery.
Insane left-wing fear mongering going on here.
05:56
@think_meaning_builds my god.
Cow
Cow
Looks like PA gonna be Trump, there's no way Kamela can win it now, so that's a win for President Trump
@Sahaj I don't want to get flagged by saying anything rude.
Good for you, I guess.
@User1865345 Modi is not a facist.
@Sahaj I respect opinions. But I disagree if you claim it as a fact.
@Sahaj Fear, yes. But not mongering. Do notice, please, that you're surrounded by moderators. Keep it civil.
05:58
To be fair, he is not. He is a wanna be.
@think_meaning_builds Is this not fear mongering? @Jolenealaska
@Sahaj what part of it is fear mongering? That's an anticipation of what could transpire.
@Sahaj "stand back and stand by" which is what they did in 2020 as they turned up for a coup
@Memor-X I don't blame any outsider. People of this country forgot. What can you say?
> It was eight years ago when we heard a similar message from John Podesta, the chair of Hillary Clinton's campaign.
My only hope is at least the dems could retake House.
@Spevacus AP called GA for Trump (source)
06:04
@cocomac yep. Just 24 away.
@Jolenealaska Polls are closing in Alaska
@cocomac Saw that yea
Welp fellas
I'm in the appropriate site's chat rooms to say GG thanks for playing
> No incumbent party has ever won another term with so few Americans thinking the country is heading in the right direction.
Trump will take it to the right direction.
Abolishing department of education, drilling in national parks, tax cuts for billionaires, cowering for dictators and what not.
> Arizona passes abortion amendment
1 message moved from Charcoal HQ
> Trump wins Georgia, powered by anti-abortion and white evangelical voters
@Dragonrage could you please remove my "fear" inducing message(s) sir.
06:13
@think_meaning_builds I think it's a legit conclusion.
@User1865345 Trumpist Republican Begich appears to be beating Peltola. There goes another house seat.
> Trump leads with more than 38,000 more votes in Nevada.
@Jolenealaska 🙄🤧
@Jolenealaska my god.
@think_meaning_builds which one?
Both, please.
06:17
@think_meaning_builds can you link them please, im not caught up on the transcript. i can remove them
or just reply to them
Anyway community, it's been a good run of democracy in US. Stay safe if you wish to live here.
@Spevacus @think_meaning_builds these two?
@cocomac when did this happen? Okay.
Thank you sir.
@User1865345 Three minutes ago, going by the time on the AP website. If me posting those AP update links is annoying though, let me know and I don't have to.
If someone needs me, you can ping me. One of the other mods in here can probably help too.
06:21
@Sahaj I sincerely appogize for any offense taken
🙏
@cocomac not at all. Please go ahead. I need to take a break from my keyboard.
Need to think about the coming days.
Welcome to Trump 2.0
@think_meaning_builds hm
Trump to address supporters at Palm Beach Convention Center tonight
> Ballot measures targeting noncitizen voting approved in 8 states
This shows the fear mongering worked. No non citizen has the right to vote. Yet it was a huge issue advocated by GOP.
So. Project 2025 is alive and kicking.
I don't understand
I hope I can fall back asleep tonight, but I suspect I won't.
Cow
Cow
I just hope he doesn't pull the US out of Nato
otherwise RIP us in the EU :D
@Cow he will.
Cow
Cow
ah well then we're all dead :)
06:40
I think you can count on him pulling us out of NATO.
Do y'all think AP will call the presidential race in the next few hours...?
@cocomac if the hill has already called it, then yes I think so. I've never seen it take much time between the first legitimate outlet and the AP
I have said again and again. Until and unless people remain hoodwinked by fear mongering and misinformation of right wing media, this country won't succeed in any way.
@cocomac they are conspicuously slow.
Democrats failed to disseminate their message. Trump was able to incite the nativist rabid instincts.
If this can't be undone, this country is already in ruins.
Cow
Cow
well Trump is set as winner all over Danish news at least
Hm. I see.
Maggie Goodlander wins House seat in New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District, NBC News projects
> Harris could still win the popular vote even if she loses the Electoral College
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