Perhaps phrasing it in another way will flesh out what my main point is:
Imagine I am a researcher sifting through the collider data
2015: O wow, a bump at 750 GeV. Looks like the theorist have some explaining to do
2016: Meh, it's just noise and statistical fluke, too bad
2017: The bump is back, now that's interesting...
Having said that, I don't recall of any historical event that has the extreme analogue of getting 1000 heads, followed by 100 tails and then followed by 1000 heads, thus I must be too emotionally devastated or something and too much wishful thinking