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00:19
@TheMatrixEquation-balance did you happen to cite those papers in yours?
It seems like the only way to make asteroid mining work is to use the resources to build stuff in space and keep it there.
@fyrepenguin - I cannot. There are only popular science articles.
00:34
@TheMatrixEquation-balance I thought you and @PearsonArtPhoto were just mentioning feasibility studies
@PearsonArtPhoto - what about carving out a solid iron-nickel slab (100-ton) that can crush-land independently, without spacecraft?
@fyrepenguin - he noticed correctly: "There are a few near-scholar level articles"
If there is a high mineral content then maybe?
Seems risky and expensive for not a lot...
It seems like C type asteroids might be the easiest early topic, basically put them in a bag and heat it up for volatiles.
100-ton iron-nickel slab (5-7% rare heavy metals) - $100,000,000
Hmmm, maybe then.
Actually, maybe not even then...
I mean, even in the most optimistic Starship that's 100 Starship launches max... Seems not worth it.
@PearsonArtPhoto - but this is a good start. Humanity will run out of certain metals on Earth by the end of the century. Asteroid Mining is the only option. They cannot mine Earth's core.
00:43
What seems better to me is to use the asteroids to make a larger space station. One can do the manufacturing on orbit and return stuff that is worth returning.
@PearsonArtPhoto - this is a good idea, but 50 years from now.
@ErinAnne but I wonder if it costs 10x as much and takes 10x longer to make those SLS engines, thus the concern may be justifiable hand-wringing.
I mean, the volatiles seems fairly easy and useful even in the early stages.
@uhoh - I think it is 100x. NASA paid $1 billion a year for those engines.
I'm reading a book called Delta-V now, that seems at least somewhat plausible.
00:48
@ErinAnne I LOVE IT! @AndersSandber has great answers in many SE's including Space, but this is the first time I've seen an SE to arXiv migration path for answer!
I think each SLS engine costs about $65 million. Not sure what Raptor cost these days.
It demonstrates to me that Physics SE is too big! and so much good stuff falls through the cracks and good people get discouraged and leave.
@PearsonArtPhoto sounds like the basis of a new question post; very roughly: "Which 'engine dumping' is a greater loss of time and money, an SLS test or Starship test" or something like that.
@TheMatrixEquation-balance I mean, even then: academia.stackexchange.com/questions/88979/…
I feel like it’s better to acknowledge existing work and contradict it if necessary than to ignore it
@ErinAnne now I'm curious; how did you end up stumbling across a Stack Exchange answer in arXiv?
@uhoh considering how many Raptors have been made recently? It would at least appear that they can do whatever they want with them
@uhoh going to be difficult to answer that without SpaceX telling us their actual engine cost, I imagine
But something I’m also curious about
01:00
@uhoh popped up in my Mastodon feed mastodon.nz/@astrokiwi/110272715112258155
My gut falls on the side that the RS-25 engines are the bigger money/time sink, either way. 4x RS-25 vs 39x Raptor … seems like 10x is indeed the inflection point
Almost positive 1 SLS engine costs more than all of the Raptor engines, but...
I wouldn't be surprised either
I think they said the cost of a raptor was $2 million a year ago. Even at that, all of the Super Heavy/ Starship engines is about 1 SLS engine.
anything you have to precisely engineer, then build a factory for, then also manufacture to tight tolerances, then document obsessively is going to cost a lot. It won't help if that's only spread over 50-60 units over...gosh, basically as many years isn't it
01:08
And even now it's still not cheap for them even though in theory a lot of the design work and such was already done
ISS going to extend to minimum of 2028

https://blogs.nasa.gov/spacestation/2023/04/27/partners-extend-international-space-station-for-benefit-of-humanity/

> The United States, Japan, Canada, and the participating countries of ESA (European Space Agency) have confirmed they will support continued space station operations through 2030 and Russia has confirmed it will support continued station operations through 2028.
this extension's going to be an interesting one imo
the Axiom modules going up will be a big deal
for sure
if we're really really lucky somebody will have the bright idea of sending a Starship to ISS
slightly comical
it's less hilarious than Starship at Gateway, but still hilarious
01:18
@ErinAnne solid point
ahaha I hadn't seen two Starships there before
poor little Orion
gotta have that LES
until NASA/etc get less twitchy about that
we'll see
I imagine the question will come up again whenever DearMoon happens
01:51
@ErinAnne while I've always eschewed social media (SE is my only online "hangout" and I still mostly avoid chat rooms) mastadon might finally pique me enough to look further. Now I may need to find a "How to Mastadon" video for non-social-savvy folks...
02:50
@uhoh I am personally very pro-Mastodon, despite many faults that it has. If you want to talk about it at all feel free to fire up a side chat with me, but fedi.tips is a very good start
you might also be interested to know that Mathstodon.xyz has LaTeX support in its web interface. here i will end what could otherwise easily be a wall of text from me
 
2 hours later…
04:32
@PearsonArtPhoto - "$146 million for each SLS rocket engine" arstechnica.com/science/2020/05/…
04:43
@TheMatrixEquation-balance including re-starting the production lines; $100m per engine not counting that (if they were to continue flying SLS, that's what the engines would average out to), which I think more accurately compares to the per-Raptor production cost
still ludicrous
 
7 hours later…
11:21
@ErinAnne Worth mentioning that a Raptor is expected to be in the single digit millions cost or lower. The latest order for SSME's is basically 100+ million an engine. So 33 million vs 400 million thrown away also adds perspective.
@TheMatrixEquation-balance I was off a little... Wow...
 
3 hours later…
14:33
@PearsonArtPhoto To be fair, that is start up production costs, and spit out 8 engines, divided by 8 costs... In THEORY engine 9-16 should be less costly. But this is NASA, so maybe not...
 
1 hour later…
15:38
@geoffc right now I’d go with about $78m vs $400m to be conservative (have heard $2m/Raptor and $100m/RS-25 not counting startup costs). So in terms of engine costs, can do at least 5 all-in Starship launches per SLS (assuming they don’t manage to drop the cost of Raptor production)
16:18
@fyrepenguin - There is a big difference. With Raptor engine development, you are paying for innovation and promise for the future. With RS-25, you don't really know what you are paying for.
16:42
@fyrepenguin And since they have so far built close to 200 Raptors in the current produiction line and RS-25E's have not been built in 20-30 years? And currently turning out engines in low number of days per engine, so I expect that cost to drop.
 
1 hour later…
17:44
@geoffc agreed; I was mainly using best case costs for RS-25 and worst case for Raptors to get a lower bound.
 
3 hours later…
20:41
To be a little fair to the RS-25, LOX/Hydrogen is seemingly a gigantic pain in the ass
we may have been blinded by ISP
but the 80s kid in me is still thinking ohhhhhhh could things have been different if we hadn't stopped building Shuttles? Especially if we'd gotten on to some of the proposed modifications
hopefully that's pretty much what we get with Starship though
20:56
It is not easy to overcome the inertia of entrenched traditional thinking and bring forward some new engineering concepts. But Matrix sent us a remarkable bulldozer, Elon Musk, to do the job.
21:13
@fyrepenguin Wirjs fir ne!
@ErinAnne having read Ignition! ….. yeah, probably. ISP > safety/ease of use. Which I guess makes sense for bespoke, high-performance systems, less so for proliferating commercial space flight
21:56
22:08
@fyrepenguin that book is so good. If I ever see a physical copy I will be tempted to make a potentially very-expensive decision
22:35
"As of March 2023, no methane-fueled rocket has reached orbit" - why didn't they think about Methane earlier? Did liquid methane/LOX engines require new inventions in rocket engine engineering?
everybody was doing Kerolox or Hydrolox instead
at least on the not-horrifying end. People do some wild stuff for propellants sometimes
10
Q: When was liquid methane used for the first time in rocket engines?

Joe JobsWhen it was the first time the liquid methane was used in a rocket engine? I mean for space launches, but it would be interesting to also know about first uses in experimental [rocket] engines, in military, sounding and maybe aircraft. And why it wasn't used before that?

John D. Clark's famous book Ignition! (1972) - "he main reason why methane has been mostly neglected as a rocket fuel after these early experiments is simply that, with its low boiling point, it's harder to store and handle than more traditional kerosene-based fuels."
I think one of the reasons people are paying more attention now is that once you're reusing rockets, coking is more of a problem
@ErinAnne they did a re-print and I picked up a copy. Originals go for wayyyy too much - I think I saw one for $5k or so
@ErinAnne was just gonna say that; prior to going for rapid reusability, it didn’t quite matter as long as it didn’t clog while in operation
No point in dealing with a more annoying fuel for marginal gain, until you suddenly want your engines to still be relatively clean after multiple burns
there's also ISRU manufacturability I guess
which is a place hydrolox looks even better but it's still too damn tricky to handle
22:44
Yup. Though I don’t know if BO cares about that in the context of their methalox engines
@ErinAnne hydrogen may well be evil
@fyrepenguin have you ever read Ben Rich's memoir, Skunkworks?
@ErinAnne I haven’t, but it sounds interesting. I’ve got Sled Driver, which I’d imagine is related as the SR-71 was built by them. Is it available online?
you made me remember this chapter in particular ("Blowing Up Burbank") 1library.net/article/…
it's a very good book, but Ben Rich came on during U-2 and was Kelly Johnson's successor, so he headed the Skunkworks during F-117
Ah, I see it’s still available/in print, which is nice
it's not my favorite SR-71 book but the Skunkworks liquid hydrogen project was a cancelled Blackbird successor
Suntan
or no, it was a U-2 successor. 1956, whoa
I have misremembered quite a bit of this
22:50
Oh dear … reading it now
They were calling him crazy for hundreds of gallons, when this past year we did hundreds of thousands of gallons for the Artemis 1 launch
to be fair, this was also before the Saturn program
The smartest answer (in my view) from Ron - was rated -1, and he never came back to SE. space.stackexchange.com/questions/12170/….
Ron's answer is two years late and doesn't substantially add to the other answers
and doesn't have any references
@ErinAnne true, but the STS & SLS programs would probably give some of the mentioned people there conniptions with how much hydrogen they were dealing with (though obviously the state of the art has progressed since the time they were dealing with it)
Just thought it was amusing
oh yeah
22:59
I liked the twist at the end there - whoops not an interceptor but a rocket
it's interesting to compare it to some of Ignition, where Clark notes that people went truly nuts with fuel and oxidizer combos
The difference between airplane engineers and mad scientists/chemists given a task to find high-energy combinations
yeah good point
What’s also fun is that I’ve given a couple people I know a copy of Igintion! and neither are particularly versed or interested in rocketry, but they are organic chemists and recognized a lot of the compounds/chemistry going on in the book
I appreciate that it’s accessible to people of varying knowledge bases
The detailed chemistry was something I somewhat glazed over but for people who know chemistry it’s an interesting part
I'm also not a good enough chemist to really appreciate the chemistry bits
23:08
@TheMatrixEquation-balance Ron also talks about the mass/thrust ratio which is basically the same as that of a Merlin engine, a keralox engine. And sure it’s more thrust to weight than a RS-25 but that engine also has significantly higher ISP. That plus other points in existing answers mean that they don’t seem to have added anything (plus as Erin said, didn’t cite any sources)
@ErinAnne me neither. Apparently an organic chemistry background is useful, from what I’ve seen, though others would also be useful
we definitely can be an unfriendly crowd here. Meta's littered with posts about how to make the site more friendly
Hmmm. Gonna have to get my hands on a copy of that SkunkWorks book
it's legitimately a good read, if a little weird at times
Kelly Johnson was a weird dude and Ben Rich was a bit more normal but still weird
@ErinAnne that’s also true. Also very site-dependent, and also probably changes depending on the current quality of questions/answers
yeah. I think the only thing we as a site have started doing better at is "Welcome to Space SE!" comments on new-contributor posts
23:10
As in, I’d bet that a site getting a lot of bad questions at some time will be a bit more quick with the downvotes/close votes than when they’re mostly getting good questions
but I think at least 1/3 of those are "Welcome to Space SE! Your question/answer sucks and is getting downvoted to hell currently. Maybe check the help center or look at some of the high-voted stuff, lol"
yeah I think some of the more-traveled people have noted we're at least nicer than some of the other SEs, which I believe
Which, to be fair, if people spent just a little more time copy-editing and looking at how to ask a good question, they’d be better received
yeah. Lots of folks just dash off a thing when it's on their mind, which I sort of understand
10
A: Does the viasat 3 that will be launching today have expendable side booster

fyrepenguinAccording to NASASpaceFlight: The Falcon Heavy for this mission — consisting of core B1068, booster B1052, and booster B1053 — will be expended due to the need for all available performance. This results from needing to insert the ViaSat-3 Americas satellite directly into geostationary orbit. T...

Like, I literally typed in half the question title into google and had the answer
man hot network questions
at least that one's not just a trainwreck question
23:15
True, but the asker has actually answered questions about the Falcon Heavy space.stackexchange.com/a/60837/16533
okay yeah, that's a head-scratcher
easy 115 rep for you though
Not my proudest rep gain ….
I'm still low-key mad that the balloon question from a month or two ago got no attention
that wasn't hard to answer exactly but it was satisfying to actually get a source document about how something was built and point to it
and I think I got like +3
compared to something like 1500-2000 rep for answering a couple Starship questions this week with what amounted to half-assed dismissals of people's ideas about how things should've been
yeah. +5, better than I remembered
and the asker is actually back in Woody's comments, huh
23:19
@ErinAnne starship points go brrrrr
yeah.
That probably shouldn't be as frustrating to me as it is--a good technical answer has limited interest, and upvotes usually means a lot of attention which means attention from the front page from people who don't have the same technical background
it's still worth some pride for folks without that background to think "ah, yes, this was helpful/interesting to me, I'll click the arrow"
but I think everybody I've talked to about it gets frustrated the same way
I mean, my first question was basically just fleshing out a question someone had in a comment. I gave ‘em a day to write it themself but I was curious
speaking of … noticed that I haven’t accepted an answer on that. Will go reread those and probably accept one
23:52
I think theater actors and academic scientists are the most bitter and aggressive crowds. :)

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