« first day (600 days earlier)      last day (4619 days later) » 

04:00
He is pointing out that continued growth in energy use is impossible
Sorry, but I still don't see it.
@Cerberus No... you are not preventing anything from happening, thermodynamically, if you wrap a scarf around your car motor. The heat is still generated and that heat warms up the planet.
Look at my pretty letters.
In the same way that continued indefinite growth of population is impossible?
@DavidWallace yes
04:01
@MrShinyandNew安宇 If it happens very very slowly, as opposed to quite quickly (like now), why is that not a gain?
I think the only theoretical limit is the amount of energy available in the universe, if you want to be as speculative as possible.
@Cerberus Because the damage was done the instant the energy was generated by smashing the nucleus of a uranium atom. From that moment there was new heat on the planet's surface, just waiting to be radiated out of an electric motor or computer screen, warming up the surface.
@Cerberus you are speculating that we will have ways, to contain, say, all the energy of a star, in a battery, or something?
@MrShinyandNew安宇 But as long as it is waiting forever, and not affecting us, what does its presence on our planet matter? Cf. 90 % of the matter of which our planet consists: the heat of all the magma etc. does not bother us.
Listen to your computer right now. It has a fan whirring. That fan is making noise, which equates to heat, and radiating heat, which is heat. All that heat is warming up the surface.
@Cerberus Well, it is not waiting forever. It is being radiated out of your computer screen, or your cellular phone antenna, or your car engine.
There is simply no way to capture all that heat. If there were, we could just re-use it.
Don't you see how you are forbidding me all sorts of practical possibilities while allowing other wild speculations?
if you could wrap all car engines in a magic blanket that captured all the waste heat, you could then take those blankets and put them into, say, water. And the water would then boil from the release of that heat, and turn a turbine which generates electricity, which powers your car.
@Cerberus I don't actually see that I'm allowing any wild speculation at all. And you haven't actually suggested anything practical.
04:06
Or shoot it into space. Or bury it, where all the other heat is.
@Cerberus But there's no way to do that
@MrShinyandNew安宇 See, you're not allowing me this.
you can't capture it, ergo it is wasted. Since you can't capture it, you can't fix the problem.
I just don't think you appreciate the amount of magic involved in a system to recover all the waste heat
All?
Fine. Any of the waste heat.
04:09
Surely you can think of thousands of things we could try.
Actually there would be lots of money to be made with a system that could recover even a tiny portion of the heat wasted by cars, trucks, boats, planes, etc.
And would that motivate people to find solutions, you think?
@Cerberus It hasn't so far.
Because it isn't much of a problem now.
Waste heat is already a problem.
Sure it is, it's wasted energy.
04:10
Not a big one.
Even if the waste heat problem were somehow completely solved, it doesn't change the details that much. It stretches the timeline out somewhat, but the point is that nuclear energy generation must, by definition, add to the energy on the surface of the planet.
But there are ways to remove this energy from the surface. And there are ways to not be bothered by it.
Just as I am not bothered by the heat in the Sahara right now.
I think, actually, that if we had a way to capture waste heat in cars, etc, then global warming wouldn't be an issue at all either. We could just use it on the planet itself, turning that global warming into free energy.
And just as heat is radiated into space right now.
@Cerberus I'm pretty sure you'd be bothered by an average global increase in temperature. Even an average increase of a couple degrees would probably destroy lots of your country.
04:13
@MrShinyandNew安宇 I'm not sure how much that waste heat contributes to our surface temperature?
@MrShinyandNew安宇 Why?
@Cerberus rising sea levels?
Haven't we had this discussion before?
As long as it happens slowly, dikes aren't too difficult to raise.
@Cerberus As long as building dikes is practical and possible.
It would probably destroy more of my country than of Cerby's. The Netherlands has already demonstrated that it's rather good at coping with being below sea level.
A few metres a century should be doable.
04:15
It's one thing to want to build dikes when you're the only place doing it. What if every coastline in the world needs dikes all at the same time?
@DavidWallace I would send you some people to build dikes for you.
@MrShinyandNew安宇 If there is time, it can be done.
@Cerberus Do you have any idea how much coastline we have?
All you basically need is energy and sand.
@DavidWallace Don't worry, we'll make it work!
Perhaps a few cities will have to move.
Or we can make some new islands elsewhere.
All of our cities are on the coast, except for Hamilton and Palmerston North.
If the current ones are too much work to bedike.
Do you actually have a word that means "provide with dikes"?
@DavidWallace We'll raise the cities, then.
04:18
I think "bedike" is as good a word as any.
@Cerberus We'd probably just use the word "dike". Just like we dam a river, we'd dike a city
endiken.
Move them over to high plateaus, which will, incidentally, be cooler, and therefore less vulnerable to Mr S's 100 °C.
@DavidWallace All right. In Dutch, we have bedijken.
@Cerberus if the world is 100C, the oceans will be boiling, so altitude probably won't help much.
@MrShinyandNew安宇 Why not?
A few million km should do it.
04:20
@Cerberus how long do you think a human can survive at an ambient temperature of 100C?
@MrShinyandNew安宇 You see, if you go high enough, it gets colder.
@Cerberus Right. And how many humans can you bring up that high? All 7 billion?
I was only talking about the cities of New Zealand.
Besides, the poor always suffer.
They can't all have Rolls Royces now either.
I'm trying to work out what percentage of NZ's population lives within 10km of the sea. It's probably around 90%.
Nice.
Or do you want an insulating dome over you country?
04:24
So Cerb, did you notice the first half of the article, where he mentions how there simply isn't enough solar energy to maintain a 2.3% energy growth rate for more than a few centuries, even if we were to capture 100% of the sun's energy on earth?
Then the seas around it can rise all they like.
@MrShinyandNew安宇 Yes, and that makes more sense.
What's the best way to say "bien que" in English?
Although?
Even though?
Yeah, that's probably right. Thanks.
Don't forget that you shouldn't use a subjunctive there in English!
Or they might think you a Frog.
Or very old fashioned.
Hmm.
04:26
@Cerberus where?
That's not so bad.
I would let you know if I were to have any problem avoiding subjunctives in English.
@MrShinyandNew安宇 After "although".
@DavidWallace OK just in case. What are you doing anyway?
@Cerberus in what sense?
@Cerberus So your only problem is with the notion that adding nuclear generation to the mix generates energy that is ultimately added to the burden of the earth's surface energy?
04:27
@DavidWallace Why and what are you translating French to English?
@MrShinyandNew安宇 Ehh I don't think so, because I don't understand.
@Cerberus It was only two lines, embedded into an essay that I'm reading.
Ah OK.
@Cerberus so assume that we can't get any more energy from burning oil, or solar cells, or wind power, or hydro power, because we've tapped it all. The only choice is nuclear, or geothermal, or tidal.
geothermal and tidal are very limited in what they can generate
(but actually that doesn't matter)
So we are using nuclear energy: converting mass into energy
all the mass we convert into energy is new energy that is on the surface of the planet
Says who?
the planet already radiates waste solar heat in equilibrium
@Cerberus what do you mean, says who?
04:30
If the earth should grow hotter, it would also radiate more, for example.
@MrShinyandNew安宇 Tapped all the solar, wind and hydro-electric energy? How could that happen?
@DavidWallace how could it not happen? We are extrapolating 2.3% growth per year
In addition, see 1–6 and A–C above.
Gosh, I feel like a lawyer.
@Cerberus says who?
Oh, you mean we're using it all. It sounded like you meant that these had run out.
04:32
@DavidWallace well, the oil will run out. But that's a different story. Either way, oil is just stored solar.
I think we'll run out of food, before we run out of solar / wind / hydro-electric energy.
@MrShinyandNew安宇 Basic physics?
@Cerberus The earth is actually growing hotter right now
and it's radiating less and less.
And it's also radiating more heat, no?
04:32
@Cerberus Have you never heard of global warming?
You are misreading me.
@Cerberus No, it's radiating less
Well, then less.
But, in your example, it would radiate more.
Ice is very good at reflecting the sun's energy back into space. As more ice melts, less energy is reflected back.
And there are ways to make it radiate more.
04:33
@Cerberus There are limits to how much heat the earth radiates
They can be increased.
By removing CO2, for example.
Gosh, why didn't anyone think of that already!!
That'd be a good way to kill crops
@DavidWallace I know!! I should apply for a Nobel Prize (even though you can't apply for one).
@Cerberus That's like saying, we'll reduce the temperature of the earth by cooling it down somehow.
04:35
Why? Mr S's scenario is not about CO2, but about producing energy in general.
Anyway, the point is not that we might be able to terraform our own planet in order to render it livable. The point is that continued growth is impossible, for practical and thermodynamic reasons.
I don't see how such a simple conclusion could possibly follow.
If you add heat to something, it gets hotter.
Yes, INDEFINITE continued growth is impossible.
Shoot it into space.
04:38
Just as INDEFINITE continued increase in population is impossible.
Why do I need to come up solutions that have been worked out and tested in practice?
It is theoretically possible.
And it becomes easier and easier as we have more energy available, i.e. if the surface gets hotter.
@Cerberus I think you fundamentally misunderstand the problem of the waste heat: its magnitude and its fundamental limits.
I like the idea of firing super-hot rocks off into space.
@MrShinyandNew安宇 I disagree.
@DavidWallace Or chimneys.
04:40
But fine, rest assured that if we ever invent the magic blanket that you wrap around something and it captures all the waste heat, the problem becomes moot because we can use that heat instead of generating new energy from fusion/fission.
There are a thousand ways that might theoretically work, but that have of course not been applied or tested.
In fact then we'll have perpetual motion too
No, actually, there are no ways that it might work, not completely. It violates the law of conservation of energy.
It does not, theoretically.
As to practice, we shall see.
@Cerberus no, it does.
even motion generates waste heat
Just moving your 100% efficient car generates waste heat, even if the motor stays cool and makes no noise whatsoever.
Another one of the thousand options. We create large boxes around the parts of our planet that we like. Inside, we will have A/C. The heat is moved out of the box.
04:44
@Cerberus That doesn't solve the problem at all, not in the least.
The way people in Texas do it now.
Why not? All you basically need for A/C is energy.
Will you grow all your crops in there?
Sure.
Will everyone on the planet do that?
Yes.
Don't demand practical details.
04:45
There probably isn't enough freon or other coolant gas to build enough A/C units
That has nothing to do with the limits of thermodynamics.
Then we harvest more of that stuff elsewhere, or synthesise it.
@Cerberus Neither does running away from the problem and building an air-conditioned shelter
How about a thick metal cable connecting the earth to the moon, which becomes a giant heat sink.
@MrShinyandNew安宇 You seem to be avoiding the question.
@DavidWallace Another good, though speculative solution.
Or moving the earth further away from the sun.
@Cerberus No, see, putting all of our civilization in an air-conditioned box doesn't change the fact that you have increased the surface of the planet to 100 C!
04:47
Then cover the entire surface with boxes.
Put the whole earth in a box.
A Dyson Earth.
What you're saying is that continued growth is possible, for the definition of possible where the planet is unlivable but we increasingly use more and more energy to keep out all the extra energy
Yes.
Well, unlivable outside the box. But who wants to be outside the box, as long as the surface is inside the box?
Fine. If that's your solution, then you'll need to find all the building materials for it.
Again you descend to practicalities that may or may not be solvable.
We're talking highly speculative theory here.
@Cerberus why are practicalities unimportant here?
04:49
^
You were talking about the highly theoretical demands of thermodynamics.
@MrShinyandNew安宇 because we don't know what technology we'll have in 100 years.
@Cerberus No, you have it backwards. It's not speculative at all that the earth will over heat in 400 years if we generate 2.3% growth in energy in nuclear power. The speculative part is that we can even maintain that high a growth level.
@DavidWallace I'm pretty sure we have a good idea of what technology we won't have. and an earth-sized air-conditioner is probably one of those things.
You said "this is theoretically impossible because of thermodynamics", and then, when I offer a potential, highly theoretical solution, you go into practical objections, instead of staying with your thermodynamic objections.
The moon, btw, probably would make shitty heat-sink. There's no air in space so the only mechanism for venting heat is IR radiation, which is what the earth already does, and it's not that fast.
@MrShinyandNew安宇 Then we live in smaller boxes until we have the technology. Or slow down the growth of our energy usage until we do. Whatever.
04:51
@Cerberus No, I said your solution of capturing the waste heat violates thermodynamics.
@Cerberus Well, gee, if you slow the growth, you aren't maintaining 2.3% growth, are you? THAT IS THE POINT. The growth cannot continue at the current pace.
And you offered no objection in terms of thermodynamics to my solution of the box.
@MrShinyandNew安宇 Then see the first point.
@Cerberus I don't know if your box solution violates thermodynamics to the point of being completely impossible. I'm pretty sure it wouldn't work for a variety of other reasons.
@Cerberus we can't all live in boxes. And why would we want to?
But you claimed thermodynamics alone disallowed my solution.
@Cerberus no, thermodynamics alone disallows capturing all the waste heat to allow for unlimited growth
Well, I have a feeling we are not progressing here.
04:54
if you want to allow unlimited growth AND the corresponding unlimited heating, but deal with that by building habitats that can live in an increasingly hot environment, fine, that might work, if only we could build enough habitats
I don't think our use of energy will continue to grow at this rate indefinitely, because we will be unable and unwilling to do so, so it won't happen. That is my practical objection to the whole speculative article.
@MrShinyandNew安宇 All right, that's all I wanted to hear.
@Cerberus ok... the whole point of the article, which speculates conservatively, is that we are unable to consume so much energy, and unwilling to live on a planet where we had consumed so much energy.
And yet: we are consuming that much energy
The rest of the blog posts go into the energy and growth problems in more detail
such as the problem of continued economic growth, which is also impossible
and the problem of the various replacements for fossil fuels
and the problem of building enough batteries to store energy
@MrShinyandNew安宇 The first (unable) seems a far more practical point than the second (unwilling).
There are many many fundamental limits on our planet and we are starting to reach them
@Cerberus unable because of the heat: if that were the only reason, wouldn't that be reason enough?
No, I mean simply unable to generate more energy.
04:57
@Cerberus well, we can build as many nukes as we want
Hardly.
Uranium is limited.
we already know how to do that, as opposed to your habitats, which we can't build
@Cerberus breeder reactors can tide us over until we can perfect fusion
holy crap it's 1am
If we can get fusion, then the problem of generating enough energy seems solved for the time being. But will we?
@MrShinyandNew安宇 Yeah I was just thinking the same thing.
@Cerberus I think we will, we are already pretty close to a fusion reactor that can generate more energy than it consumes.
But the point was that assuming we had fusion, we are still unable to deal with the heat.
I don't know: hasn't that been announced as possible in 15 years for several times?
@MrShinyandNew安宇 And there we have a much more speculative problem.
And there you won't allow me speculative solutions.
pouts
05:02
@Cerberus Your solution is comparable to the situation where you're driving in a car at a high rate of speed, and I tell you "stop, there's a cliff dead ahead!" and you reply "well, maybe by then I'll have grown wings, and I can just fly out of the car as it plunges into the ocean"
Pretty speculative. I won't even say it's 100.000000% impossible. But wouldn't it be better to acknowledge the cliff, then stop the car?
If growing wings is theoretically possible, and if the cliff is speculative and very, very far away...
@Cerberus not so far in absolute terms
You also seem to have in your mind this binary distinction between "on the surface" and "elsewhere".
Greetings all around.
Hi!
While in fact heat is never evenly spread over the surface, and it bothers us less at certain places.
We were just getting ready for bed.
Or at least I was.
What time is it for you, midnight?
05:05
Nah, it's 23:05 here.
Ohh.
How many time zones does Canada have? 2? 3?
Anyway, Tom Murphy, the physicist who wrote those posts, also examines many of the other fundamental limits. Like, if you want to propose earth-sized airconditioners, your proposal needs to at least estimate how much Freon you'd need, and where it would come from.
@Cerberus 6 I think
@Cerberus Too many.
Pacific, Mountain, Central, Eastern, Atlantic, Newfoundland
@MrShinyandNew安宇 Sure, but then we're at a whole other level of practicality.
Oh, 6 is a lot.
05:06
Why does Newfoundland get its own?! whines
But you are in the west and in the east, right? And you're only two hours apart?
I guess Mahnax isn't too far west.
@Cerberus not really. If there just isn't enough freon to go around, you haven't solved the problem. Unless you've, say, 50% solved the problem, and some other solution can do half.
And what's this about naked Dutch people?! Such weird happenings around here.
@Mahnax er, don't ask.
@Cerberus There is one time zone that's more west than me.
05:07
And two timezones easter than me.
@MrShinyandNew安宇 You may have noticed that it's too late.
even though mine is called "eastern"
@MrShinyandNew安宇 It is too practical for us to solve now, isn't it? And, yes, it could also be part of the problem. Or we could find some other substance to do the job.
@Mahnax You may have noticed that we didn't answer
@Mahnax He's gone completely gaga at last.
05:08
@Cerberus The point remains that there are many fundamental limits that need to be considered, and the whole blog is about looking at those limits and how close we are to reaching them.
Like, if we had solar cells on every house, are there enough rare-earth minerals to manufacture all those cells? solar cells imply energy storage, is there enough lead-acid or lithium to make enough batteries? how much battery are we talking about?
@MrShinyandNew安宇 I did, actually.
@Cerberus Thank heavens.
I don't feel that the amount of a certain substance that we happen to use for A/C now and that we could possibly get from anywhere is as fundamental as thermodynamics.
@Cerberus reminds me of when my daughter learned that there was a singer named "Lady Gaga". She said "Gaga? Ga-ga? That's what I say when I don't want to say something"
Haha, does she really day that?
That's cute.
@Cerberus No, but you are talking about making an air-conditioner powerful enough to counteract a planet whose surface-temperature no longer has liquid water., and this air-conditioner is big enough to encapsulate the whole earth's population. you have raised the bar so high that you can't just say "well, we'll figure it out"... it's completely impractical based on anything we know in physics.
Not to mention the logistical burden of building and maintaining it.
But gods below, it's now 1:12 and I must be off.
05:13
@MrShinyandNew安宇 One more example before I go. To people who lived in a house and used fire to bake bread, but who were unfamiliar with using an oven to contain the heat locally, and an chimney to remove the heat from their house, there seemed to be no solution to the problem of baking bread inside without baking themselves too.
"The heat has to go somewhere!", they complained.
@Cerberus yes, I understand your example. But it's one thing to make a chimney. It's another thing to make a huge frickin' project like drilling through the crust (Russia), or making a huge canal that cuts two contnents apart (Panama) or making a big-ass damn (Hoover dam). But you are now asking for a box that would hold the entire United States. Where would the material for that box even come from?
wow! I successfully dismissed a flagged message!
You could also ask "who should design the box?". I don't have an answer to all the details, and of course it may not work.
I guess not too many flag handlers at this time of day and omg I'm still here bye everyone for real this time.
My point is that there are 1001 things we could try, and that they are no more speculative than the proposed scenario in the article.
Bye!
I'm off too.
@Cerberus An air-conditioned box as big as a continent. read that again a few times and think about how that is different from, say, the Burj Dubai or the Hoover Dam or anything we've ever built ever.
05:17
*Burj Khalifa
Well, bye to the both of you.
@MrShinyandNew安宇 Again, you demand too many practical guarantees at this point.
@Mahnax Dag!
 
3 hours later…
08:38
@Cerberus interestingly the building was originally going to be called the Burj Dubai, then the property markets collapsed and they ran out of money, so they were bailed out by the Kalifa in Abu Dhabi, so they had to rename the building.
@Cerberus glad it's still working :D
09:14
I think officer would answer: "please, one moment; I check quickly" — Carlo_R. 1 hour ago
Well, he's inaccurate. But I expect that of him.
09:30
Inaccurate, umm. That's a polite way of putting it.
Good. I was aiming for polite :) bbl - meeting!
 
2 hours later…
11:51
@Cerberus I'm not demanding any guarantees. But I don't think it's unreasonable to ask where the concrete for a building the size of a continent might come from.
@Cerberus Yeah I knew the name changed but I can never remember the new name
12:30
* bailed out by Sheikh Khalifa
12:50
For those of you who have ever seen an episode of Dora the Explorer, check out the trailer for the new movie
 
1 hour later…
14:18
How is this on topic?
-1
Q: What is this tattoo design called?

Carlo_R.Does someone know what the tattoo design on the back of this man is called? I'm sure I have seen this design elsewhere, but I'm not able to recall where.

@simchona Because when we set rules for [single-word-requests] on meta, no one thought they would degenerate in this direction.
You're more than welcome to vote to close it, though; I, on the other hand, have to follow our guidelines on meta.
I remember someone else asked a "what part of the castle is this" picture, and it was closed
So why not this one? It's not really English. It's a "name this picture" game
1
Q: Best word for spanish "integral"

JuanIn spanish there's a word "integral" which, when used as an adjective means something like "it includes everything". When we was "servicio integral" we mean that the service includes all aspects related to it. For example, an "integral" service of ecommerce includes consulting, design, coding/de...

Is this one considered translation?
14:25
You mean this one? It's open. I agree with you, it's not a question I want on the site, but at the same time, mods are only supposed to act unilaterally if it's not borderline.
@Mahnax Yes and no. Questions like this have been considered on-topic before.
@MrShinyandNew安宇 I know. I'm just trying to decide if this one in particular should stay open.
The concept he is looking to explain in one word is described in the question, so the fact that it originated from a translation isn't important.
I agree.
@waiwai933 Huh, totally remembered it being closed. But I get what you're saying
-4
Q: What is this design called?

Carlo_R.Does someone know what the design in the picture below is called? I'm sure I have seen this design elsewhere, but I'm not able to recall where.

He changed the picture. I still think it's OT.
14:30
Well, I can't very well rescind the vote I cast a few minutes ago.
15:27
Oh, hello @CarloR.
Hello
How are you this evening?
Well, very well.
Oh, good to hear.
Have you finished the school? @Mahnax
15:29
@Carlo_R Well, I've finished grade 10.
Here is summer.
I still have two years left, but this last one is over.
Congrats @Mahnax
@Carlo_R Thanks.
@JasperLoy Welcome, Jasper. I was lonely without you. Simchona has done his best, but it is not the same thing. However, I confirm. I am an engineer and I said that when I replied to Reg on the radiator question (em1 user). He said something in contrast with Laws of thermodynamics. "I would add, though, that even if it emitted frost" The contrast is that doesn't exist a body that emit frost.
15:37
emit is a hypernym for spray
anyway, my point is boring
Is there a better word.
radiators are called radiators because they radiate. not because of what they radiate
Yes, you are right. But it is not possible radiate frost.
@Carlo_R no. I was going to say something else, but then I changed my mind
@Carlo_R that's irrelevant
Furthermore, "radiator" is an inappropriate word, it is a mistake of its idiom
15:40
sure, most so called radiators heat by convection
but radiator would be referred to radiaton
not convection
A radiator of veiccle, as a radiator of the room, does not radiate, practically, nothing.
It would be called "heat exchanger"
right, except that it's called a radiator
English is not physics
Yes, you are right.
15:46
Going from physics terms to English often confuses laypersons
AFK BBL
CU
time to home go
@Carlo_R Are you making the mistake of thinking that the physicist use of a term is the only correct use of that term?

« first day (600 days earlier)      last day (4619 days later) »