« first day (105 days earlier)      last day (559 days later) » 

9:12 PM
Stats for Roll [Average: 478.7623834]
╔═════════╤══════════╤═══════════════════════════════════╤══════════════════╤═══════════╗
║ Outcome │     Odds │                            Trials │           Denorm │ Pass Odds ║
╟─────────┼──────────┼───────────────────────────────────┼──────────────────┼───────────╢
║    +478 │  23.762% │ 1188083000000119/5000000000000000 │ 2376166000000238 │  100.000% ║
║    +479 │  76.238% │ 3811916999999881/5000000000000000 │ 7623833999999762 │   76.238% ║
╚═════════╧══════════╧═══════════════════════════════════╧══════════════════╧═══════════╝
Experiment in creating a roll whose sole purpose is to have an average near to an arbitrarily supplied floating point value.
It..... might be a work in progress though.....
Stats for Roll [Average: -17.5]
╔═════════╤══════════╤════════╤════════╤═══════════╗
║ Outcome │     Odds │ Trials │ Denorm │ Pass Odds ║
╟─────────┼──────────┼────────┼────────┼───────────╢
║     -17 │ 150.000% │    3/2 │     15 │  100.000% ║
║     -16 │ -50.000% │   -1/2 │     -5 │  -50.000% ║
╚═════════╧══════════╧════════╧════════╧═══════════╝

Mean: -17.500000
Median: -17
Mode: -17 (1.5)
80.0% Range: [-17,-17]
95.0% Range: [-17,-17]
99.5% Range: [-17,-17]
> "So this die is like a d20, but it has a negative 5 percent chance of rolling a 20."
Stats for Roll [Average: -17.85]
╔═════════╤══════════╤═══════════════════════════════════╤══════════════════╤═══════════╗
║ Outcome │     Odds │                            Trials │           Denorm │ Pass Odds ║
╟─────────┼──────────┼───────────────────────────────────┼──────────────────┼───────────╢
║     -18 │  85.000% │ 4250000000000007/5000000000000000 │ 8500000000000014 │  100.000% ║
║     -17 │  15.000% │  749999999999993/5000000000000000 │ 1499999999999986 │   15.000% ║
╚═════════╧══════════╧═══════════════════════════════════╧══════════════════╧═══════════╝
Okay, problem is fixed now. =D
I should probably get that second post scrubbed, I feel like exposing the existence of "negative probabilities" could be extremely dangerous.....
 

« first day (105 days earlier)      last day (559 days later) »