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00:01
I don't follow .ru links
Not because of politics but because sketchy hacking possibilities.
They've rebranded their views as "human biodiversity"
Which is just...cringe
Or rather 20 years ago I visited one .ru site and all I got was cascading popups that I couldn't stop.
No doing that again
@alphabet people have to have something to occupy themselves after work
00:21
@Mitch What haven't you forgotten? I don't remember.
@Cerberus your question about 'notes' (footnotes I think)
In physics, horror vacui, or plenism (), commonly stated as "nature abhors a vacuum", is a postulate attributed to Aristotle, who articulated a belief, later criticized by the atomism of Epicurus and Lucretius, that nature contains no vacuums because the denser surrounding material continuum would immediately fill the rarity of an incipient void. He also argued against the void in a more abstract sense (as "separable"), for example, that by definition a void (equivocally?) itself, is nothing, and following Plato, nothing cannot rightly be said to exist. Furthermore, insofar as it would be featureless...
@alphabet Kinda ironic coming from people who would prefer everyone looked like them
@Mitch Ah.
Yeah, I have no idea either.
Just Binging GPT's output, then tacking on notes later seems...incredible.
Also because I read that some articles are made up, don't exist?
Then again, in the interface, you see it says searching for [string of search words], which suggests...something.
And I believe GPT doesn't have the notes via Open AI's website/interface?
00:36
@Cerberus that's what I was trying to explain to you at first is that it is not plausible to create references (html links or bibliographic references internally to the LLM because the architecture is all about creating random sequences that match n-gram (and more complicated) probabilities, and finding a true reference for a random sequence that has no factual content (except by chance) is not likely.
There is no existing research I know of currently that can do that. (But I may not be well enough read)
@Mitch That is a fair point.
Word of the day: epinetron (From ἐπι- (epi-) +‎ νῆτρον (nêtron, “distaff”). From νέω (néō, “to spin”) +‎ -τρον (-tron).
So maybe they use machine learning to find references ex post facto, based on the GPT reply?
@Mitch Or maybe, in the learning process, they can establish some sort of probability that a certain reference applies to a certain random sequence?
It would result in bad references, just as they are now.
Just like the ex post facto method.
@Cerberus The issue is that it's pretty much impossible to calculate the extent to which one input into the training process has influenced a given result
The massive series transformations applied during the training process makes it effectively impossible to track a specific piece of information as it moves through the system
@alphabet Yes, that is impossible.
So it would need to be some sort of probabilistic guess of correspondence, just like the way it creates its sequences of words.
Consider a reference a special, final item in the sequence for each sentence.
Created much the same way each word in the sequence is created.
00:47
Of course, ideally we'd have an LLM smart enough to look for references on its own that can confirm its outputs.
It doesn't matter if the references are sometimes bad, presumably, since (in an ideal world) you'd check them yourself first. Of course, the references could also have been something generated by an LLM...
@Cerberus yes, that was what I suggested previously as the most likely way to do it (but machine learning as implemented by basic web search for the produced string.
@alphabet Yes, that may be what it is doing.
From what I read, Microsoft has some sort of special software/interface between GPT and the Bing search index.
The queries you see in Bing GPT chat are actually queries sent to this special software.
Which then uses the Bing index to find references.
@Cerberus yes that was what I was just suggesting, that using the many probabilities in the LLM (large language model, a very deep neural network), would be implausible
So it is all more or less as we surmised.
By the way, how common would you say the word surmise is?
@alphabet I wouldn't say (and I've been pointedly -not- saying) that it is impossible mostly because there very well might be a method, I just have a hard time imagining how (I could explain at length exactly -why- I think it is implausible and I've already explained very superficially why).
@alphabet that is the very start of this whole conversation, that if you ask ChatGPT for references or links, it will happily generate them for you, just like they do everything else by randomly putting link like things together Ina likely looking sequence, but it just doesn't exist.
00:58
Dated slang of the day: whippersnapper
@Cerberus I can never remember the OED tiers but for language learning scales it feels like a C2 word (top level fluency, college graduate
@Mitch Right, it seems uncommon to me.
Which is surprising, considering how common the need for it would seem to be.
The Dutch word, vermoeden, is much more common.
It's still not a word a young child might use.
@CowperKettle yes, but commonly used as dated slang. So it is dated but well known
@Cerberus I think phrases like "much as we surmised" are fairly common.
@Cerberus one would surmise.
01:01
I just don't see it often.
Haha
Total setup
@Mitch Hah.
So one would indeed.
@Cerberus definitely not.
But then not extremely rare
A bit academic
@Cerberus There are a number of related words that are more common; "suppose" and "suspect" can often replace it
Yes
01:03
@Mitch Yeah: surmise sounds academic, whereas vermoeden merely sounds...adult.
@alphabet True. But Dutch also has those.
So the answers in Bing chat not only use GPT, but also Bing's own search results directly.
"Surmise" is an odd word. It seems somehow both too formal and too informal
It probably uses some sort of algorism to extract info from its search results, and it can display that info in the chat. And then of course it can add where it found it.
@alphabet Too informal for what or whom?
> Fix undefined behavior with overflow related OPTIMIZE_INFTY and delta in regcomp.c.
@alphabet how does it sound informal?
@Cerberus I wouldn't expect it in, say, an academic paper; I would expect "conjecture" or "hypothesize"
01:08
@alphabet "Surmisal" is quainter: ell.stackexchange.com/q/107042/2127
@alphabet Hmm perhaps because it suggests a kind of subjective judgement of probability?
Or "predict," in some contexts
Subjective, not rigorous nor based on procedure.
So it's baaaad in scientific language.
@Cerberus Yeah, it's imprecise and seems to describe a person's mental state more than a considered judgment
Yeah that's what I meant.
01:09
I'm not sure how bad it is. But I would avoid it.
That may just be my own personal opinion.
@M.A.R. Yeah it sounds super American, probably based on the typical style of those texts.
@alphabet you mean you would surmise that?
@Mitch No, I would opine it.
No opining in chat, please.
@alphabet it may have been an opinion based in inferring something, and then ergo, hence and it follows that you would have surmised it.
01:24
> 5. a. To form a notion that the thing in question may be so, on slight grounds or without proof; to infer conjecturally. Const. object clause. or simple object.
Can you use it in the passive? "He was surmised to be evil"
Your statement was not surmised by you appropriately
"It has often been surmised that they were responsible" sounds OK to me.
The impersonal construction would seem common enough.
And the personal passive also seems OK to me.
Now do it with an ablative absolute
01:35
"He was surmised to be evil" sounds wrong
I surmise it irksome
@alphabet there's lots of ways to be infelicitous. Agrammaticality is only one of them
Infrequency is one of them
Semantic incongruity is another.
@Mitch No nominative absolute?
@Cerberus well sure if you want to do the whole paradigm
His health surmised to be declining, the generals prepared for a new era.
Not something I would write.
What about a deverbal noun? "Many of his surmisings were inaccurate"
01:39
But wrong?
@Cerberus good point, the generals might be upset at that surmission
Cha!
(I think "surmisal" is more correcter.)
@Cerberus Tiens!
"Bad is how he surmised them"
01:41
And how!
That sentence would come as a big surmise
+1
Surmise me, baby.
Let's organize a surmise party
What about "He couldn't surmise what to do"
H&P's example sentences can get downright mean:
> However well-meaning, the very act of helping old people may reduce their ability to look after themselves.
Memorable
01:53
There's a good use of surmise, for all those who cast shade on the word.
Words are tools. Skillful people use them skillfully.
3
Bah. John Keats is overrated. I only care about America's greatest poet, Bhad Bhabie
You seem like more of a Bad Bunny follower.
I have no clue how the "Cash me Outside" girl became a pop star. Also where did her accent come from?
She seems to speak in some sort of strange affected pseudo-AAVE
Who cares?
> O, let me entreat thee cease. Give me thy hand,
That I may dew it with my mournful tears;
Nor let the rain of heaven wet this place,
To wash away my woful monuments.
O, could this kiss be printed in thy hand,
That thou mightst think upon these by the seal,
Through whom a thousand sighs are breathed for thee!
So, get thee gone, that I may know my grief;
'Tis but surmised whiles thou art standing by,
As one that surfeits thinking on a want.
I will repeal thee, or, be well assured,
Adventure to be banished myself:
02:07
Gotta be Shakespeare.
Henry VI, Pt. 2 (1623) III. ii. 351.
> Madam, I swear I use no art at all.
That he’s mad, ’tis true; ’tis true ’tis pity,
And pity ’tis ’tis true—a foolish figure,
But farewell it, for I will use no art.
Mad let us grant him then, and now remains
That we find out the cause of this effect,
Or, rather say, the cause of this defect,
For this effect defective comes by cause.
Thus it remains, and the remainder thus.
Perpend.
I have a daughter (have while she is mine)
Who, in her duty and obedience, mark,
Hath given me this. Now gather and surmise.
> All y'all look like you still fly Spirit
All y'all must not've looked in the mirror
All y'all lookin' but the windows tinted, like (Hi b—)
I don't know what made all y'all haters (Hi b—)
02:32
@Robusto blorp
 
2 hours later…
04:08
Nov 14, 2018 at 22:12, by Robusto
Phrasemaker.
 
4 hours later…
07:44
(removed)
 
2 hours later…
09:18
(devomer)
09:40
(moveder)
09:56
(Moved dove devore roved dorm over Dover)
10:13
(move dove over red rover)
 
2 hours later…
12:13
#Worldle #530 1/6 (100%)
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🎉
⭐⭐⭐🏙️🪙
https://worldle.teuteuf.fr
🌎 Jul 5, 2023 🌍
🔥 20 | Avg. Guesses: 4.44
🟨🟥🟥🟩 = 4

globle-game.com
#globle
Daily Quordle 527
7️⃣4️⃣
6️⃣8️⃣
m-w.com/games/quordle/
12:45
🌎 Jul 5, 2023 🌍
🔥 2 | Avg. Guesses: 6.27
🟨🟥🟩 = 3

globle-game.com
#globle
I was very lucky on that one!
12:58
Good job!
Found a nice Ukrainian group.
Wordle 746 6/6

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Tricky.
Wordle 746 4/6

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Lucky again :-)
@Robusto After first reading this poem, I went to Wikipedia reading about Cortez's discovery of the Pacific, and learned that on the way he hacked to death a small tribe, if I recall correctly. That dimmed the imagery a bit, and I did not memorize this poem, although it's great
13:06
@CowperKettle You have to consider the context. Tales of the hacking and enslavement and the like got filtered out and what remained for European consumption was the grand discovery. I think Keats would have been the first person to have been horrified did he but learn the gritty details of the matter.
I even recall that his retinue killed some native persons because they were openy homosexual. But that be just my garbled memory.
@Robusto Yes, I understand that. Keats is great. My fave poet.
I even listened to his letters being read, on YouTube.
He died young, an idealist of the first order.
Caught TB while caring for his brother ill with TB
> This is your birth-day Tom, and I rejoice
That thus it passes smoothly, quietly.
Many such eves of gently whisp'ring noise
May we together pass, and calmly try
What are this world s true joys, ere the great voice,
From its fair face, shall bid our spirits fly.
Daily Octordle #527
5️⃣🕚
9️⃣4️⃣
🔟3️⃣
🟥🕛
Score: 68
Meh.
13:37
Daily Octordle #527
6️⃣🕚
3️⃣7️⃣
4️⃣8️⃣
🔟5️⃣
Score: 54
:-)
14:00
The doctor today told me they found some parasitic worm species in me, and it must have been living there for a long time. I said - why on Earth wasn't it found before, when I took three tests in three weeks at my local outpatient clinic? She replied - sometimes 10 tests return normal, and on the 11th you finally discover it.
I've been in hospital since last week, so I've been through some tests and procedures.
But I never thought it would be a worm, with all the handwashing and sanitizing and three tests.
She said there's no blood test for it, you have to take a dozen stool tests on different days trying to find it.
> The Kremlin has warned that the situation at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant is tense, claiming there is a “great threat of sabotage from Kyiv”.
Ukraine has also raised the alarm, with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy saying Moscow is creating “dangerous provocations” at the occupied power station.
Pretty sure something is going to happen in next couple of months.
14:20
Zelensky has said that Russia is planning to create a nuclear disaster.
From what I hear, that will result in poisonous water all along the coast of the Back Sea, so probably including Russia and Turkey.
It would seem incredible, for Russia to do that.
But who knows?
@CowperKettle Oh, dear.
Does this mean you have a good prognosis, once the remove the parasites?
@Cerberus Yeah there are arguments that neither side will benefit from it.
@CowperKettle I had been concerned about your absence. I'm glad they learned something. Did you have someone taking care of your kitty?
@Vikas Indeed, unless the Russian army benefits from the chaos of a disaster.
14:56
@Robusto Think of it as an etude. The hardest part of that piece is that it comes in three sections: adagio, andante, and prestissimo, but of different lengths.
Nov 14, 2018 at 22:04, by RegDwigнt
If it weren't for this room, I would know nothing of the world outside it.
Too bad he's not around anymore
@Cerberus I don't think it impacts Russia at all, except for the moral difficulty of committing a huge atrocity.
@CowperKettle Hopefully that is treatable. An anti-helminthic?
@Mitch Why do you disagree about the poisonous water?
> Referring to LaFollette’s Justification of the sinking of the Lusitania and
also to the Belgium atrocities, Mr. Roosevelt sold: “I abhor Germany for
having done it but I tell you my friends while I abhor the Hun without our
gates I abbor still more the Hun within our gates who apologizes for,
condones, excuses such infamy. That is the type of man who earns
measureless contempt and scorn for our people on the other aide.
> “More than that I have told you that I believe that Mr. LaFollette is, at
the moment, the most sinister enemy of democracy in the United States. I
include, of course, according to their capacities, the shadow Huns, who
dance with him when he dances. Shadow Huns like Groom and Lundeen. I abhor
them, but praise heavens they don’t represent the American people. I wish
to heaven it were possible to give Senator LaFollette and his followers,
the Shadow Huns, the Hun within our gates, over as a free gift to the
15:13
@Cerberus Oh... I didn't see the part about it poisoning the Russian part of the Black Sea coast (and Turkey too).
Would it be controversial to say (understatedly) a poor look for Russia to say that it would be awful whether it affects Russian coast line or not?
@Mitch I think that would certainly be a consideration for Russia.
China and India and Brazil will really not like it if Russia causes a nuclear disaster on purpose.
China, Brazil and India (CBI).
> The Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) is the domestic crime investigating agency of India.
The Center for the Promotion of Imports (Dutch: Centrum tot Bevordering van de Import uit ontwikkelingslanden) from developing countries (internationally known by its Dutch acronym CBI), an agency of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Netherlands, was established in 1971. CBI is an Agency of the Netherlands Ministry of Foreign Affairs and part of the development cooperation effort of the foreign relations of the Netherlands. CBI contributes to the economic development of developing countries by strengthening the competitiveness of companies from said countries, and connecting them to the markets...
> internationally known by its Dutch acronym CBI
Not known by me haha.
15:40
Wordle 746 4/6

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16:22
@Cerberus Nobody will.
@tchrist No, indeed.
> “So it figures...the one Star Trek technology I was really hoping would be right around the bend, turns out to be the most difficult one to pull off. I abhor flying. I abhor trafic. I abhor waiting and wasting time. Here we have the best possible way to get exactly where we want to go with absolutely no hassle, and it turns out to be, well if not absolutely impossible, damned difficult.” —William Shatner, I’m Working on That (2004).
@alphabet I don't think Shatner is recoiling from transit options for reasons of morality. I think he just hates all the hassle.
17:04
There is no real need for people to move around so much.
Now less than ever, with the Internet.
I think humanity would have many fewer problems if people didn't move so much.
War, pollution, immigration, far right, etc.
17:16
> In hun dagelijkse overzicht van de Russische verliezen in bezet gebied maakten de Oekraïense autoriteiten woensdagochtend melding van de vernietiging van onder meer 36 Russische artilleriesystemen en 9 meervoudige raketlanceerinstallaties.
That is a lot for one day.
> Volgens de Oekraïense strijdkrachten kunnen de reactoren de ontploffing van de explosieven doorstaan, maar explosies aan de centrale zouden de valse indruk kunnen wekken dat Oekraïne een aanval zouden hebben uitgevoerd op de installaties. Met het plaatsen van explosieven zouden de Russische bezetters ook willen bewerkstelligen dat het Oekraïense leger bij zijn offensief op afstand blijft van de centrale.
This is a lot less alarming.
17:50
@tchrist Did you ever read "The Pig That Wants to Be Eaten"
@MetaEd No, after Charlotte's Web, I got the message. :)
@Cerberus keeps very still
@tchrist hahaha
@tchrist McCoy was right -- "what actually happens is that you are murdered and replaced by a clone"
@Mitch That one's been simmering with you for nigh on five years now?
@Cerberus There is a new microbrewery here that named itself Ex Novo. I just wondered if that was proper Latin.
I just remember a motto from a flying club I used to belong to, which was Ex Cinere Immortalitas and the two don't seem the same. But I don't know.
18:48
@Robusto I think they're using ex novo to mean "from scratch". You'll want the same case on the object of the preposition whether it's de novo or ab ovo. Your ex cinere is also in ablative singular for cinis "ashes", but that's the third declension which is full of variations you don't find in the "simpler" first or second declensions.
SO that's why it looks different.
19:09
Are you guys also seeing 4 hours in timer?
Earlier it was showing 20 hours but now changed quickly.
@tchrist Haha, OK. Thanks for clearing that up.
@Vikas 3:40 and change at this point.
19:35
@Robusto Yeah. Same here. They updated it I think.
I really wish they don't fill it with Instagram influencers and ads.
I also took some extra sleep in the day.
So I'm feeling energetic. So much that I'm wondering if it should be "took sleep" or "had sleep"?
20:21
@Vikas Yes. Or just "slept".
20:44
@Robusto actually quite a bit longer
21:31
@Robusto Hmm it doesn't sound wrong to me. It's just that denuo is the idiomatic choice to express the same thing (from de novo).
So you may not find it in classical authors, but they might not object to it.
La palabra del día #545 5/6

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https://lapalabradeldia.com/
21:50
@Cerberus Gracias.
Le Mot (@WordleFR) #542 4/6

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https://wordle.louan.me
@jlliagre luck, or great process of elimination?
@MetaEd A little bit of both.
Same here. I was down to three words and had to guess.
 
1 hour later…
23:26
@Vikas If you mean that you woke up later than usual, you would say "I slept in today"
If you mean that you slept briefly sometime later in the day, you would say "I took a nap today"
@Vikas You could also say, using took, that you "took a rest" today.
23:49
@Cerberus Yes, I think it must be easy to treat. I hope. She will discharge me soon, and I will book an appointment with a parasitologist at the outpatient wing of the same hospital. Will take some pills, I guess.
@tchrist Yes, the cat is fine. I should ask the parasitologist whether I might have caught the worm from the cat, because I started having the abdominal attacks in the fall of 2020, and my mom had picked up the cat from the street in the fall of 2019.
@Mitch Yes, I think so. She said "don't worry it's not oncospheres", like I had any idea what oncospheres was.
She probably meant to say "it's not cysticercosis"
I had an attack of something in the fall of 2020. Felt like the meal was not coming through, and just sat inside me. Heaviness in the left flank, and like something was blocked there. Blood sugar increased, and I was feeling weak for several days, and sleepy.
The local GP said "it's just the usual stuff, take some enzymes" (I've got the feeling he always prescribes these). "And here's the prescription for a tablet to take against the pain" (Although I had no pain).
After several months, I went to a gastroenterologist, and got the same stuff. I insisted, so she prescribed an endoscopy of the stomach and the 12" bowel (duodenum), and found H.Pylori erosions, and treated it.
But the attacks continued so she said "if you want to, you might go for a colonoscopy, and here are tablets for the bouts of pain" - "But I've never had any pain, it's heaviness and tiredness" - "Whatever".

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