« first day (4076 days earlier)      last day (1141 days later) » 

00:00
It's a dummy reporter from Denver. She doesn't know our county, clearly.
@tchrist Huh, that is an extremely high price.
How many square metres would that house be?
It's a dummy reporter from Denver. She doesn't know our county, clearly.
@Cerberus Oh I don't know, we don't have those here. :)
I wish wonder what the price per square metre is.
The average house in Amsterdam is around 500,000 or 600,000, I think.
But I praesume it will be much smaller than the average house in Boulder?
The little red balloon in the bottom is where the fire started. It grew east to the place that's labelled the Marshall Fire. Notice where Boulder is. 5300 Eldorado Spring Drive where it started is completely NOT TO THE WEST OF BOULDER. It's south by southeast. Dummy reporter.
If prices are distributed normally, average and media should be equal, shouldn't they?
00:03
The yellow star in the top left is where I live.
Quite far away.
@Cerberus The median is not the mean. It is the price below which 50% of the homes were sold and above which the other 50% were sold.
I know, but isn't that equal to the mean when the distribution is normal?
I forgot.
In a truly normal distribution, yes. But it never works out that way in real life.
But it should be close enough, if the distribution is close enough to normal...
00:06
> In November 2021, the median listing home price in Boulder, CO was $894.9K, trending up 13.4% year-over-year. The median listing home price per square foot was $487. The median home sold price was $877.5K.
Ah, right.
If you cube the square foot price you should get your meter box. :)
It should be times nine, no?
Then divided by 1.2 to Euros.
4 meters is 13 feet.
€3653.
I think we're nearing €10,000 here.
@tchrist I think our rate of growth is similar.
00:09
mac(tchrist)% units '487 dollars/feet^2' dollars/meter^2
	* 5242.0244
	/ 0.000190766
Okay, so it's € 4512 per square metre.
While we're nearing € 10,000.
I did (13ft/4m)² * $487 / $1.14.
No normal person can afford to buy homes at these prices.
Indeed.
And rents are even more expensive.
Indeed.
If you can get a mortgage, you can have a cheap house; if not, you have no house.
Because interest rates are much, much lower than the rent you would pay for the same house here.
Partly because of tax cuts on interest.
00:14
> The average rent for an apartment in Boulder is $2,210. The average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment in Boulder, CO is currently $1,550. This is a 3% increase compared to the previous year.
How large would this apartment be?
Lord.
I think the Lord lives in a dark tower.
3
Or do you think he occupies a mere apartment on the top floor?
00:16
> The average rent for a Boulder studio apartment is $2,009
The average rent for a Boulder 1-bedroom apartment is $2,451
The average rent for a Boulder 2-bedroom apartment is $2,904
The average rent for a Boulder 3-bedroom apartment is $4,312
You'd need to bunk 6 per bedroom to pay for it all, at least as a student.
> The average rent for an apartment in Boulder is $2,210. The cost of rent varies depending on several factors, including location, size, and quality.

The average size for a Boulder, CO apartment is 824 square feet, but this number varies greatly depending on unit type, with cheap and luxury alternatives for houses and apartments alike. Studio apartments are the smallest and most affordable, 1-bedroom apartments are closer to the average, while 2-bedroom apartments and 3-bedroom apartments offer a more generous square footage.
That's why the working class must commute from our suburbs.
Like Superior. Oops, bad idea, that.
This is a college town with over 30,000 students, who all somehow make do, one way or the other.
I don't actually know how they do it. I haven't looked at that whole scene since I moved here 31 years ago.
Yeah, I think the average student pays €600 or €700 here, for a small room.
Let's say 12 m².
Your bed, a closet, a desk, and it's full.
The square root of 12 is about 3 and a half.
So maybe 10 feet if you count the wall.
Bur that's just a sleeping room. You have to eat and poop and all.
But it sounds like a dorm, yes.
You share those spaces.
Kitchen and bathroom and loo.
Yeah, those are dorms not apartments.
They may or may not be a common room.
No apartments, indeed.
00:27
They don't count into any of those prices I gave above.
Nor dormitories: just a regular house where several people rent a room each.
Yeah, I mentioned them because the smallest spaces have the highest price per square metre.
You aren't SUPPOSED to do that here. Zoning restrictions. The landlord can get in trouble.
But it of course happens.
You aren't supposed to have more than 3 unrelated people living together. Breeds babies or something, I dunno.
> The current code, 9-8-5 Occupancy of Dwelling Units, allows up to three unrelated persons in low-density residential districts and up to four in medium-density and high-density districts.
> Removing or significantly increasing occupancy limits could normalize a number of currently illicit rentals and increase legal housing availability.
 Higher occupancy limits could enable new housing models. For example, new student housing tends to default to four bedrooms, yet other unit types could emerge if occupancy limits change.
@tchrist Yes, it isn't allowed everywhere. I think you need to get a permit, nowadays.
But many houses are already like that.
A dorm or a fraternity or any other boarding house has different rules than those.
>  Two exceptions to the occupancy limits: The cooperative housing ordinance allows an increase over the occupancy limit on a limited and selective basis. There are also a limited number of legal non-conforming units which have occupancies greater than currently allowed in the zone.
> Preliminary outreach found that many residents, particularly in single-family neighborhoods, are concerned that raising the occupancy limit could create more noise, activity, trash, traffic, and parking problems.
"Party houses"
> Boulder: Current occupancy limits have been in place since 1981. Occupancy limits in Boulder are enforced on a complaint basis.

Elsewhere: Most university towns nationwide have occupancy limits in place; however, a number of Northeast cities have no limits on unrelated roommates.
[ SmokeDetector | MS ] Post is mostly images, toxic answer detected (98): Residual soil or surplus soil‭ by ur mom‭ on english.SE
00:46
@tchrist Foot and a half?
@Robusto yes
We got a mere taste here. Sandía snow is all gone now.
Also known as a cubit.
I know the term from sesquicentennial.
@Cerberus ^^^^^ That one's for you.
Although I can make no excuse for him calling Labienus /ləˈbinəs/ instead of um, how it's spelled. :)
Maybe it would have sounded naughty in English?
I wonder whether you can detect the speaker's native accent.
Heck, I wonder if @Robusto even can. Once you hear the tell, it will jump out at you.
If you just want to hear why that was the longest year in human history, skip to 21:50, but the whole part leading up to it is a nice summary of his reforms while Dictator.
01:17
@tchrist ¿Cómo?
The link up there to The Longest Year in Human History. Can you discern which regional accent the speaker is sporting?
He speaks almost like you and me.
But not quite.
Is it "utterly" sounding like "udderly"?
Nope, that's standard on this continent.
Listen to his diphthongs, the two phonemic ones.
It's subtle, not strong the way it is in, oh for example, Fargo.
Like in ayund?
He raises both his phonemic diphthongs before an unvoiced stop.
Not just the one in mice like you and I do, but also albeit only a tiny bit the other one, the one in about.
01:22
So Canadian?
Ottawa.
Yes, but near us.
Just from the other side of the lake.
I used to teach there a lot.
Michigan?
He's from Ontario.
Which is Canada.
So he has a tiny bit of "Canadian raising" in both his phonemic diphthongs, not just the one that nearly anyone on this continent has.
But it's so subtle it's easy to miss. It's not like in Fargo.
01:24
OK.
Well, Fargo was laying it on way too thick. I suppose to make a point.
Indeed. That said, you can hear that up there at times. More in Oshkosh than Green Bay for no apparent reason. Or of course in Duluth/Superior.
So the year 46 BC was the longest year in human history. What Caesar did to the calendar was PHENOMENAL! It makes this look like a joke:
mac(tchrist)% cal 9 1752
   September 1752
Su Mo Tu We Th Fr Sa
       1  2 14 15 16
17 18 19 20 21 22 23
24 25 26 27 28 29 30



mac(tchrist)%
I ride with one guy from northern Wisconsin who doesn't have an appreciable accent. He's been away from there for some time, but I really don't notice any Wisconsonish in his speech.
That was in Boston that year. But in Rome in 46 BC, Caesar wrestled with the very seasons.
I'm still for 13 months of 28 days, plus a New Year's Day (or sometimes two).
There were 445 days that year.
01:28
Something had to be done.
He had to add in three more months to bring it all back around.
We all still use his calendar the world around. The Gregorian tweak was super tiny.
@Robusto You've been listening to the ladies again. That or the Hebrews. Or both.
Our current calendar is too lumpy.
If you skip to 21:50 in that video, you'll finally understand why our calendar has such weird months.
That's where our lumpiness comes from.
Nobody talks about Jesus' miracle of having 12 close friends in his 30s
12 close MALE friends
It all falls away with the years.
I also rather like his "Human civilization did an oopsie" video.
02:05
Interesting Youtube channel, I've added it to favez
02:21
@tchrist Nice summary.
I forget: when was the beginning of the year shifted to January?
@Cerberus It's complicated.
Most of us say when Caesar got his way with the calendar.
There are ecclesiastical arguments placing it near Easter, and it was long celebrated as such in England.
So it took a long time to undo that. But Caesar started January 1.
> The beginning of the legal new year was moved from March 25 to January 1. Finally, 11 days were dropped from the month of September 1752.
That's only in English cultures like ours.
Or maybe they moved it in 1600. It's hard to track. Easier to go back to the Republic and ignore the Easter bits.
Oops, I meant Kingdom!
> In many countries the New Year begins on January 1. However, this wasn’t always the case. In fact, for centuries, other dates marked the start of the calendar, including March 25 and December 25. So how did January 1 become New Year’s Day?

We can partly thank the Roman king Numa Pompilius. According to tradition, during his reign (c. 715–673 BCE) Numa revised the Roman republican calendar so that January replaced March as the first month. It was a fitting choice, since January was named after Janus, the Roman god of all beginnings; March celebrated Mars, the god of war. (Some sources cla
> January became the first month of the calendar year either under Numa or under the Decemvirs about 450 BC (Roman writers differ).
Yup.
About his accent, I have no idea, sounds North American to me, possibly slightly Canadian?
I know little about North American accents.
Or any accents at all.
Only very slightly, but yes. He also says plague with a slightly different vowel than I have. And it shines through in without.
02:28
Hmm I don't remember hearing without nor plague.
At least, if you are exquisitely sensitive to that.
He has many, many other very good videos on Ancient Rome.
I probably wouldn't have noticed if you hadn't asked.
Mostly it was nice hearing a guy who didn't have a damned Southern Californian accent that makes everything sound to wrong.
He talks very very close to how Rob and I talk.
Is that like a surfer dude?
Yes.
02:30
I'm actually not sure I remember what that sounded like, but it can't be good.
They say gahn not gone, so to speak. I can never get used to that.
@tchrist Good to know.
@tchrist Oh my gaaahd?
Isn't that also done in other places, on the East Coast?
At first hearing him I thought he was from my side of Lake Superior, but he's from the farther shore.
Ah, were both of you from that lake? I forgot.
@Cerberus Not exactly, no. The East Coast doesn't have the cot–caught merger so badly as the damned West Coast does. In Pittsburgh, though, they do have a weird version of the merger where all those have the rounded THOUGHT vowel.
@Cerberus We're from the south end of Lake Michigan.
02:33
@tchrist I seem to recall The Nanny's mother crying out "oh my Gaaahd".
Pittsburgh has Uncle Dawn, Awnt Dawn for Uncle Don and Aent Dawn.
@Cerberus That's not the COT–CAUGHT merger. That's the FATHER–BOTHER merger. The Californians have all of those combined.
Uhh.
So complicated.
Yes, everything sounds like uhh when Californians tulk.
I suppose I would pronounce gone longer than god.
They say walk like wahk.
@Cerberus Yeah.
02:37
I think that the written data on the failure of civilization in 1200 BC might be too scarce to build any theories. For instance, in the Russian Empire there were severe famines and economic disruption, and just 5 years later, all was well. Had only a couple messages survived from that period, some historian might think that the whole Empire perished, while it did not.
Hmm I see both are possible, /gɔd/ and /gɒd/?
@CowperKettle I hate that you might be right.
@CowperKettle Such conclusions are not based only on written sources.
It will be a combination of various sources.
Yes, I know: they use also a lot of achreological sources and now even DNA sequencing etc.
@Cerberus Yes, but to me those are really just allophones. I know I sometimes produce one and sometimes the other, and that it doesn't sound right when I swap, but I can't pull out examples just right now.
02:38
Besides, you might be surprised what conclusion can be drawn from texts after all.
@CowperKettle We have reasonable written continuity in Egypt and China, but nowhere else. And China was too far away for whatever happened in the Med and Western Asia.
Depends on what period you take, doesn't it?
Think of Troy. That was before the Greek Dark Age.
And we have no actual written records from that city of its fall. Just the echoes in Homer from so many centuries later after writing was re-invented.
But Ancient Greece, the part we have histories of from then so like Pericles and Plato, still held marvels lost to us now. The lost age of Troy and such from before then is somehow forever cut off from our eyes now. Go ahead, just try to find proper records of Thera before it blew up.
> Although there are no clear ancient records of the eruption, its plume and volcanic lightning may have been described in the Egyptian Tempest Stele,[10] and the ensuing volcanic winter coincides with a cold wave mentioned in the Chinese Bamboo Annals.
Yes, there was no continuous written culture in Greece between Troy and Homer.
But there was written culture in that period outside Egypt, wasn't there?
Yes. In China.
The Bronze Age Collapse wiped out all other literate cultures than Egypt and China alone.
02:48
Mesopotamia?
Some towns in Asia Minor that weren't pillaged?
But I think we have few written sources from Asia Minor anyway.
The Assyrians made it through.
The Late Bronze Age collapse was a time of societal collapse preceding the Greek Dark Ages (from around 1100 BCE to the beginning of the Archaic age around 750 BCE). The collapse affected a large area covering much of Southeast Europe, West Asia and North Africa (comprising the overlapping regions of the Near East, the Eastern Mediterranean and North Africa, with the Balkans, the Aegean, Anatolia, and the Caucasus). It was a transition which historians believe was violent, sudden, and culturally disruptive for some civilizations during the 12th century BCE, along with a sharp economic decline of...
Oh, I linked to the #Mesopotamia section.
Babylon fell.
> Assyria and its colonies were not threatened by the Sea Peoples who had ravaged Egypt and much of the East Mediterranean, and the Assyrians often conquered as far as Phoenicia and the East Mediterranean. However, after the death of Ashur-bel-kala in 1056 BCE, Assyria withdrew to areas close to its natural borders, encompassing what is today northern Iraq, north-east Syria, the fringes of north-west Iran, and south-eastern Turkey.
And, strangely, they perhaps did not write of Troy. :(
Which was a bit earlier still.
> Assyria still retained a stable monarchy, the best army in the world, and an efficient civil administration, enabling it to survive the Bronze Age Collapse intact. Assyrian written records remained numerous and the most consistent in the world during the period, and the Assyrians were still able to mount long range military campaigns in all directions when necessary.
Well, but that doesn't mean an end to writing in Mesopotamia, does it?
Right.
Yes, exactly.
And perhaps Phoenicia also retained writing.
And possibly some other, smaller places.
But they didn't tell us what the hell happened.
02:54
Sure.
We have a little tiny bit. Not enough. The last video link I posted starts out with some of those that we've found.
But you suggested that there might be no continuity of writing outside Egypt.
One also wonders about India, but that might be irrelevant because too far away.
Egypt remains. China remains. But where is Assyria today? It is no more.
Oh, you meant from 1200 BC to now?
Egypt was completely changed by Alexander and Ptolemy, of course. For a little while.
02:56
Well, I doubt whether writing ever disappeared from Mesopotamia.
I should think it didn't.
The Phoenicians came after the BAC.
> The Phoenicians came to prominence in the mid 12th century BC, following the decline of most influential cultures in the Late Bronze Age collapse.
I think places like Ugarit already had writing centuries earlier?
Perhaps not quite Phoenicia.
But I wouldn't be surprised if some writing happened on the East Coast during the worst of times? I don't know.
@Cerberus Indeed. Which I had not known.
There is much we do not know about that time, as you said.
We have their alphabet, the first one we know of, but I don't think almost any of their records survived.
> The Phoenicians were long considered a lost civilization due to the lack of indigenous written records, and only since the mid-20th century have historians and archaeologists been able to reveal a complex and influential civilization.[19] Their best known legacy is the world's oldest verified alphabet, which was transmitted across the Mediterranean and used to develop the Hebrew script, Arabic script, and Greek alphabet and in turn the Latin and Cyrillic alphabets.
We did decode Linear B. Linear A is still unsolved.
03:03
Yes, that is, the language behind the script is unsolved.
I think we know some stuff about the script?
Doesn't it resemble B in various ways?
I think we think we've figured out the numbers.
I don't know much about it.
I know that the Mycenaeans from "Greece" conquered the Minoans on Crete. And that we don't really know what all was happening then.
> Linear B shares many symbols with Linear A, and they may notate similar syllabic values, but neither those nor any other proposed readings lead to a language that scholars can read. The only part of the script that can be read with any certainty is the signs for numbers
Indeed, we do not.
And remember that something awful happened to cities in the Levant around the time that Thera blew up: pebbles of the gods, a cosmic event, a great explosion in the air near the Dead Sea. (The volcano and the asteroid weren't related. We think.)
Yes, problematic times.
The Tall el-Hammam event.
03:16
Yeah it was in the news recently.
Stuff like that leaves lasting cultural echoes longer than writing survives, although that one is probably the Old Testament bit.
"Active volcanic arc" never sounds good.
No, indeed.
Or should that be, never, indeed?
Yeah.
Or else Indeed not.
03:20
Right.
That's less emphatic, isn't it?
Seems so.
I am just deeply, deeply frustrated and saddened that we have no written accounts of so much of our time on this world.
Yeah.
Then again, there is so much we have not.
And yet we have more than anyone ever had.
I would read the diary of a man of ten thousand years ago, of fifty thousand years ago.
For we were men then.
We had language, culture, arts.
All lost.
Not wholly.
The tales out the Dream Time from the Australian autochthons stretch back to another world.
But they are only oral, not written.
IF only we had written records of our contacts with other human species!!
Not just legends handed down from time out of mind of the little "hobbits" on Flores.
03:31
Those records might not be too friendly, though...
03:45
I wonder what the Neanderthals were thinking when they ceremonially buried their dead.
04:07
They were probably sad.
04:35
That's 100,000 new cases just in California alone. I can't even.
04:59
New York Times puts it slightly higher at 894,490 new cases today.
And they have 2,642 new deaths. That's...a lot. Sigh.
Let's hope the mildness will be enough to compensate for the exploding infections.
@tchrist Do you happen to know this: if you've been sick with Corona, and it was mild, is there a good chance that your body will react mildly to a second infection, too?
Of course there is the problem of how many virions you inhaled: that make your sickness milder or worse.
@Cerberus I don't know any longer with the new variants, but there were some early counterexamples of re-infection being worse for some victims. And yes, the amount of inoculant is very important.
That's why emergency room workers were dying.
@tchrist Hmm so it's impossible to say whether your chance is better or worse.
They kept being exposed to it.
Right.
And to very large amounts.
05:13
@Cerberus For me, yes. I'm not an epidemiologist. And I haven't looked at the data.
Then so it is for me.
My instinct is that it would be lesser. But there are too many variables. Anyway, I'm nearly always wrong about everything as far as instincts go.
I doubt that.
But isn't it bedtime?
Long ago.
I'm going.
05:15
I'll go. Was catching up on news.
Sleep well.
05:48
Street sweepers from Central Asia ride bicycles, attaching their brooms horizontally to the frame.
They are like Harry Potters.
 
5 hours later…
10:26
My laptop had been working hard for several hours, and finally I grew tired of the noise. And guess what? It had a Skype process running, and it put a load of about 50% on two cores of the CPU. All this despite the fact that I closed Skype first time my laptop restarted this morning. I shot down the Skype process, and now the laptop is silent again.
 
1 hour later…
11:53
> "A man who wants children would, I think, do better to get one from friends. The child will then be the sort that he wants – in this way it is possible to choose according to one’s mind from many, whereas, if one begets his own children, there are many dangers involved; for he must live with whomever he begets."
Purportedly by Democritus, via Enthony Gottlieb bidoonism.files.wordpress.com/2020/05/…
Although I only managed to find this quote in his book, and nowhere else.
 
1 hour later…
13:18
in The Periodic Table, 41 secs ago, by CowperKettle
Chemists say that they cracked the secrets of the crack-resistance of Roman concrete https://www.bbc.com/travel/article/20211213-how-are-romes-monuments-still-standing
A nice site, bbc travel.
13:37
> - How does a samurai kill a non-binary person?
- They/them
14:27
@CowperKettle Skype is an insidious bastard.
15:46
@Cerberus I've read that if you have been vaxxed and boosted and you still get Covid, you will acquire "super immunity" ... whatever that may be.
17:10
@tchrist If you're frustrated now, just wait till so much of today's records get wiped by another Carrington event, or worse. We have no hard copy to be unearthed millennia from now.

« first day (4076 days earlier)      last day (1141 days later) »