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13:37
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A: What are the implications of a huge amount of unused hash power?

Emil RThis is a tautology. The hardware used to build a longer chain (a 51% attack) is hardware that is profitable to mine with. Thus you cannot use unprofitable hardware.

Well, yes, but it might be profitable for the wrong reasons, such as being funded by a government that wants to undermine bitcoin.
That happens in a 51% attack in the sense that that hardware could be used to mine and make a profit but instead it is funded by someone else with the scope of attacking the blockchain. (You cannot build a 51% attack with obsolete hardware)
Yes, but isn't the case today that it is hard to amass the amount of hash power that you need for a 51 % attack? If difficulty goes down drastically, hash power is there, somewhere, and can be powered up easily for malicious reasons.
If that were to happen that would be a 51% attack and the solution to that is a pow change.
Do you mean a pow change such as a change of hashing algorithm rendering all mining hardware useless?
13:37
yes. that is the only solution we have to a prolonged 51% attack
My question is more about the integrity and robustness of the blockchain.
What are the implications of everyone just knowing that it might happen?
And you can't change pow every time the difficulty goes down an order of magnitude.
Bitcoin and cryptocurrency is still experimental, everyone investing should know the risks and one of the risks is that we will never fix all the problems and Bitcoin won't work
Yeah, that's a true general statement.
the 51% attack is known since inception aka whitepaper
the probability of it happening are quite low though and it get lower with time
Yes, I agree as long as the total hash power in the world is huge and fully utilized.
13:45
the cost of a 51% attack is increasing constantly, I don't have the math handy but atm no nation state can pull such an attack alone and it will only get harder. Since it didn't happen even once I don't think we need to worry about it happening every other day
But if difficulty goes down to let's say 5 % of today's value, it might suffice to get in control of one of largest miners of today, no? Still expensive, sure, but maybe not for a certain goverment that would have large incentive to make the blockchain crash and burn...?
Thats assuming that miners are running at thin profit margins (which is not the case) and a 5% drop will make obsolete only 5% of the mining hardware. As it is mining is still profitable and it will an over 50% drop for your scenario to happen.
note that I wrote "to 5 % of today's value", that is a drop of 95%. So this scenario would require a huge decrease in bitcoin value.
Sure. Thats possible but improbable.
If Bitcoin drops to 5% of today's value I think its done anyway
You might be right, but there have been a couple of crashes before. Not 95 % but in the same ball park.
13:58
Anything is possible but its highly unlikely imho. And even if it happens a pow change will fix things for a long time.
This attack vector will always exist, it is by design.
Yeah, let's hope so. :) Thanks for your input!
you're welcome!

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