Trump is literally accusing Joe Scarborough of murder during a pandemic but nobody cares anymore

> A blow to her head? Body found under his desk? Left Congress suddenly? Big topic of discussion in Florida...and, he’s a Nut Job (with bad ratings). Keep digging, use forensic geniuses!

He's been doing this for like 6 years fwiu

@Stormblessed for someone who last week was bragging about he was too busy to watch old baseball games (he was trying to make the argument they needed to reopen sports because he was tired of watching old baseball games), he sure has the time to keep tweeting nonsense

Rip Vermin

f

Yeah rip the only good guy left in the race

Howie seems fine I guess

> White House bans entry of non-US citizens traveling from Brazil, a hotspot for coronavirus

Honestly not even sure at this point what the over/under is on Bolsonaro being able to call Trump up and convince him that it's not a hotspot somehow

I mean it doesn't help when you definitely actively have coronavirus and have been spreading it amongst your government for weeks

> On @CNNSotu, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett says Trump is considering a cap gains tax "holiday"

lmfao, of course

What capital gains are anyone making

Other than I guess short term trades

My 401k has regained most of its lost value at this point so I'm assuming someone's making money even if there's literally no reason for that to be the case since we're still actively in the middle of a pandemic

But the answer is surely not anyone who needs it!

My company is still down about 50%

old article (but still kind of relevant) about why RealClearPolitics is not to be trusted much

(apparently imo to avoid showing the fact that Biden is ahead in enough states to have somewhere around 330 or more electoral votes if current polling is 100% accurate) their map has tossups as a plurality and states like New Jersey as only lean D

New Mexico as toss up is the most egregious

followed by Oregon as lean and Washington and Illinois as likely

and SC is not going to flip this year or for multiple presidential elections

tldr: they aren't very good at this (and seem a little selective towards not showing Republicans as losing) and 538 has a better polling tracker which lists ratings of pollsters

I mean, that looks about right to me at this point and I don't know what use it is to say "actually fuckin, Ohio is a lean biden" instead of actually creating that outcome

@Unionhawk there are a ton of states (e.g. Colorado, New Mexico, Maine, and Virginia) that went for Clinton and have an extremely low chance of flipping but they put as tossups

for instance New Mexico only has Democrats in the executive positions and federal positions, and a quite big Democratic legislature majority

before 2018 it was less homogeneous but still based on recent history in a similar generic ballot I don't think it has a chance of flipping

Clinton won 48-40

in 2018 Democrats won House elections in total 58-38 there

not much polling of Virginia either yet but the bit 538 has has him up somewhere around the high single digits and Democrats did extremely well in the recent elections there

and then having Texas as a tossup is still silly

@Unionhawk I 100% agree that Ohio is too close to say it's lean

still actually might put it in lean Trump personally

I think somewhere around 14 states are possibly competitive

less depending on if you count Texas and Maine