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4:00 PM
If you think this kind of assumption should be bounded by the limits of our universe, and do not extend beyond, then you are actually not consistent, because you would also have to believe that they do not extend beyond your lab or wherever you did your experiments.
 
@user21820 I reject that science(more a methodology of how to put perception and inference together to make theories than anything else) will ever determine the truth or wisdom or whatever one may call it that there is a supreme being.
 
Why do you believe it even extends to the whole earth? Or if you do, why to the solar system?
@LastIronStar I never said that it did.
 
@user21820 No i'm saying it
 
Sure. I say that I am using hardly any more contentious assumptions than scientists do.
 
@user21820 science does not explore multiverses.
evolutionists do not care about multiverses or the fine-tuning arguments
 
4:02 PM
@LeakyNun So what? I said the easiest reasoning to a lawmaker is the other argument.
 
@user21820 When I said space and time, I meant conceptual boundaries as well.
 
@user21820 so you can't call him a science-denier if he refuses to believe that meta-universal laws exist
@user21820 fine-tuning argument?
via information theory?
 
@LastIronStar I don't think you got my point; think very carefully about the boundaries you assume about the laws. You have no reason to believe they hold anywhere that you have not personally observed.
Except for the reason I am using. Namely it is the simplest explanation for the universe, in the sense of information theory.
 
@user21820 So they have to be universal because of that?
 
I did not say they have to be.
I just said that you must acknowledge your own assumptions are of similar nature.
 
4:04 PM
@user21820 My statement that they are not universal is not universal is what you mean?
 
@LastIronStar Not that. Your assumption that scientific experiments can give you information about parts of the world you have never personally observed.
 
@user21820 At a conceptual level, Science can be different for other beings in the universe is not hard to acknowledge. Now, if the question is will all humans(i.e, same perceptual/inferential apparatus) wherever they go to the universe will find out that the laws are all the same - that i'm divided on
 
@LeakyNun: I don't think you have sufficiently evaluated the evidence for the evolutionary hypothesis and how they are promulgated. If you can show me convincing statistical evidence of correctness of predictions of that hypothesis, without selection bias and experimenter bias, then of course I would have to switch to it as my tentative belief.
My beliefs are all tentative, but I do not think my core beliefs will switch so easily from this point because I have spent roughly a decade thinking as carefully as I can about many related issues as a whole.
 
I haven't even lived two decades lol
 
Sorry I meant to say "a decade" and "many years" at the same time and wrote the wrong thing.
 
4:09 PM
lol
 
Honest slip.
 
we started by talking about whether humans and chimpanzees have a common ancestor
we didn't start by that
let's just say
let's just talk about that
 
What?
 
my position is yes and your position is no, I would assume
 
That is the hardest part, because you choose two rather close species...
 
4:10 PM
I'm not sure how we got from that to information theory and multiverse
@user21820 you want me to do humans and rats instead?
 
My reasoning is based on what I estimate is the information contained in the biological structures for humans and chimps.
 
@LeakyNun mice are better test animals :P
 
That is why all the other stuff came up.
 
@user21820 and what do you estimate?
 
I estimate that they are about as different as Windows 7 and Windows XP.
Different team of designers went into them. Similar components could have been reused.
 
4:15 PM
but you have to know that our estimates is that CHLCA (Chimpanzee–human last common ancestor) is at least a million year old
that translates to at least 20k generations
 
@LeakyNun That is why I said I think you should critically reevaluate your sources about evolution. That very kind of estimate you are citing is made by assuming they had a LCA.
 
ok i'll pop in later. bye.
 
It says nothing if they didn't.
 
@user21820 yes, of course
I thought that is clear
my point is that
20k generations can bring into a lot of changes
 
So what? Are you sure you cannot see what is circular in where that reasoning is going?
 
4:18 PM
@user21820 I'm not using it to prove that LCA exists
just bear with me
 
Okay.
 
I don't explain my thoughts clearly
 
Try again. What is your point concerning the age of the LCA assuming it exists?
I agree that evolutionary hypothesis plus LCA existence plus current mutation rates imply that order of LCA age. Use this claim freely.
 
that 20k generations can bring about a difference as much as is between Win7 and WinXP
 
So what?
 
4:20 PM
so it isn't incompatible
 
It isn't, but it has much less explanatory power than just assuming Win7 and WinXP were designed...
Do you see my point? Maybe I was the one not explaining clearly.
 
@user21820 we're living in an era where computers reproduce, remember?
 
Since when?
You stopped being an alien hours ago.
 
the ability to reproduce is what makes "common ancestor" even well-defined to begin with
and I would even say that the ability to reproduce makes things much more likely to have common ancestors
 
@LeakyNun Since this has come up again, it reminds me that your argument about reproduction is flawed.
 
4:24 PM
mind to elaborate?
 
The ability to reproduce is not a well-defined notion. Living organisms do not merely reproduce of their own accord. They often rely on some external factors. Some, like viruses, are not even considered living by some people, but by quite arbitrary reasons. How about villages? Cities?
Ponds?
Similarly, I could argue that computers reproduce by relying on humans who see them and like them to want to make new versions of them.
Humans become the external factors that are utilized in the computers' reproduction.
Can humans stop it? No. Computers will succeed in reproducing. They are enticing humans at even childhood now.
Ultimately, whether or not reproduction occurs in the biological sense, it is not really relevant. What matters is the amount of information that goes into Win7, how much comes from WinXP, and how much comes from other sources such as designers.
My argument is simply that by my estimates of information, it is easier (not necessary) to explain the many creatures on earth as instances of creation than of evolution.
I do not doubt that some (by today's classification) different species could have evolved from the same ancestors.
But I think the grouping is quite small.
To assert that there is no design at all in the history of the earth would be to assert that all the information in it has arisen out of natural processes that had no conscious intent behind them.
 
@user21820 did I assert that?
12 mins ago, by user21820
I agree that evolutionary hypothesis plus LCA existence plus current mutation rates imply that order of LCA age. Use this claim freely.
this is quite interesting
and what is "evolutionary hypothesis"?
 
@LeakyNun I didn't say you did. I am just suggesting that if we assume design in some points in the history of the earth, then the question boils down to what points had injection of information.
Since I do think that there was design inherent in the universe, via my argument that stability preservation is a hallmark of the physical laws, I hence think (as of now) that the most likely historical points where there was information injection include creation of sufficiently distinct species at various points in history.
@LeakyNun It's the one I defined earlier, remember?
 
hmm
does LCA existence plus current mutation rates imply that order of LCA age?
 
Erm, current mutation rates only tell us how fast the information in genetic structures degrades.
@LeakyNun In particular, this does not hold in a world with drastic alteration of existing species at some points in time.
The evolutionary hypothesis must include some assumptions that current mutation rates are approximately the same as mutation rates throughout history, and that no other sources of changes are present.
 
4:40 PM
does LCA existence plus current mutation rates plus constant mutation rates imply that order of LCA age?
 
Yes if by mutation you include all changes to the genetic structure and you really have statistically significant genetic marker evidence.
If you have too few genetic markers, then you can't estimate large ages accurately.
Even in modern populations, genetic testing has failed in several high-profile cases in court.
And innocent people were convicted.
Mitochondrial DNA is assumed to pass relatively unchanged from the mother's side, but still...
 
hmm
let's say
can some species 1e7 years ago give rise to humans and chimpanzees now?
is that highly unlikely?
aha, I should ask instead
can some species 1e7 years ago give rise to two species as distinct as humans and chimpanzees now?
 
@LeakyNun In my own opinion, it is highly unlikely not only because the information gap is too large, but also because there already is evidence of information injection at other points in history, such as the Cambrian explosion. If so, then the likelihood of such long-age ancestral relation goes down. Asking whether something is possible is not much point; of course everything consistent is possible. It is 'possible' for nobody to exist except you.
I could just be your imaginary friend toying with you.
 
just replace "possible" with "likely"
being pedantic
@user21820 "explosion" is unfortunate for a name
 
Well it's what they call it.
 
4:52 PM
but it's hardly an explosion
 
They explain it via radiative adaptation, but note that that conflicts with the assumption of constant mutation rates...
You can't have your cake both big and small.
I mean, if you say that mutation rates are constant but circumvent that by saying that niche environment can encourage sudden divergence of lineages, then the calculation of LCA age is suspect too.
I'm not saying you say...
 
how much do you know about linguistic evolution?
 
A couple of years ago I had some interest in linguistics, but haven't read much about it.
By the way, I hope we don't have to go into linguistics, because actually I see no relevance to the evolutionary hypothesis since human languages are designed, whether by individuals or by societies.
 
but they also change "naturally"
I must object to the notion that human languages are designed
 
Yes during the periods where they change naturally, I agree there will be similarities.
@LeakyNun Well you're wrong. See the recent example of Simplified Chinese.
 
4:57 PM
@user21820 that's written language
 
You didn't say spoken...
But still wrong.
See Malay.
 
certainly not all spoken human languages are designed
(I know, I'm refining my claims, or what you would call ad-hoc)
 
Well okay. So some human languages are not designed.
But the proto-languages are all designed in some fashion.
 
but that is irrelevant now
 
Those that branch off are not 'designed' consciously, but still designed unconsciously (though I know you may not accept this).
 
5:01 PM
I wouldn't call unconscious changes "designs"
 
People use the word "google" now.
Is it intentional?
It is.
 
let's just look at one example
for example, Greek "πέντε" (pente) and English "five" are related
can't be more specific :P
 
I know both words.
So what do you want to say about them?
 
that they seem different
 
So what? You omitted so many intermediate languages and the forces that drive the changes, both phonologically and in written script.
 
5:03 PM
@user21820 I'm only talking about spoken language, remember
 
Yes but the written language influences the spoken vernacular.
Sometimes via the upper-class, if you wish.
 
that's why I chose a lower-class word
 
I really cannot figure out what you are trying to justify with that pair of words.
 
that things that seem very different can be related
> You omitted so many intermediate languages
 
@LeakyNun So what? I didn't object to this at any point.
 
5:05 PM
this corresponds to the fact that we hardly can ever have all the intermediate "links" between humans and chimpanzees
 
My main point was that an explanation that is simpler on the whole is preferable to one that is more complex. If the lawmaker injected information at some point in history, then if it is simpler to explain some other points by him doing it again, as compared to 'purely physical' processes, then that's all there is to my reasoning.
Same reasoning for things like organs and organelles.
 
but we've never seen any celestial lawmaker inject any information at any point in history
 
It is far simpler to explain organs as the obvious thing to do if you are designing a functioning complex multi-cell organism, by principles of modularity that programmers all ought to know, than to explain them by some convoluted evolutionary arguments.
 
but we have continuously witnessed changes in species
 
@LeakyNun We have not witnessed significant changes.
 
5:09 PM
true
a human lifetime is 100 years
let's say that the written history is 1e4 years
certainly it is insignificant when compared to 1e7 years that took the (hypothetical) LCA to change into human
 
Perhaps I need to explain again why I believe my explanation via a lawmaker is more likely in my opinion.
 
@user21820 Is lawmaker the material cause of the universe?
 
If you are the lawmaker, and you imagine the task that you set yourself of creating a world that is interesting (not just random chaos), you would make physical laws that preserve stability. This is most easily done if you do things in a modular way. If you also want to create creatures that have individual volitions, you would create them to be like software that runs on your physical hardware. And your hardware, to be fault tolerant, would also be modular. And so on and on.
You would probably agree with me that this easily accounts for all the similarity we observe between living organisms not at the finest level but at the apparent modularity level.
 
@user21820 correct me if I'm wrong, but in my opinion, your "lawmaker" is so vague that the force that injected information can be, you know, the universe itself
 
@LeakyNun Yes you are right. I wanted to mention that possibility at some point as well, but it just wasn't appropriate.
 
5:14 PM
@user21820 then we don't really disagree
 
Given what we know about quantum mechanics, it is still consistent with a deterministic universe, whereby the lawmaker can simply create the world with such precise initial configuration so as to lead to everything we see today.
@LeakyNun However, I have no choice but to disagree with that possibility, based on considerations that I have not even yet touched upon.
Except fleetingly above when I said "individual volitions".
 
I'm not talking about the force that created the universe
certainly it can't be the universe itself
so is it your claim that H and C are so different that something cannot individually "evolve into" H and C given 1e7 years?
 
@LeakyNun Well that is what my philosophical reasoning would be useful for, to point towards a conscious lawmaker with intentions behind creation than an unconscious one.
@LeakyNun No; everything is possible. But given a conscious lawmaker it is much more likely that they were created separately than evolved from the same organism.
 
I have to point out one thing (that is relevant to us both)
the theory of probability is too overrated here
 
Well I'm not using probability in the usual sense.
 
5:20 PM
are you not?
 
Of course nothing I said can be formalized, but I'm thinking in terms of information. If something needs n bits of information more to specify than something else, then I consider it 1/2^n times as likely to be the real explanation than the other.
 
hmm
 
In other words, just treat everything I say in terms of how much information you need to give to make a proposed explanation fully explain everything.
 
what do you assign to P(conscious lawmaker exists)?
 
Nearly 1.
 
5:23 PM
hmm
 
I have personal experiences, but of course everyone can discount that as chance.
Suffice to say that I was once brainwashed by a religious organization, and came out of it, and began my years long search for truth.
I ended up rejecting everything I was taught and rebuilding my beliefs from scratch.
@LeakyNun A thought experiment you can try is this: Randomly consider objects you can see in your environment, and ask yourself whether you consider it designed or not, and if so designed consciously or not.
And then ask yourself how you are making that judgement. If you say it's because you know what they are, try to remove that bias.
 
that's hardly "random"
I live in an urban environment
everything is designed by humans
 
I know...
But there are still many undesigned things, like raindrops.
Puddles.
Ripples.
 
it's perfectly not raining here lol
 
Shadows.
 
5:28 PM
that isn't an object
 
The way your hair looks in the morning.
 
what are we doing here
the heaven
 
The point is to try to understand what I feel when I say that many things in the physical world, especially living organisms, look designed consciously as much as a laptop looks to me.
There are many things that are not designed, of course.
The presence of a lot of information that cannot be explained by chaotic processes suggests design.
 
@user21820 I thought everything is designed by the lawmaker
 
No I do not believe that, because I believe that he created some creatures to have true volition, and so he did not design their choices.
 
5:35 PM
hmm
free will
 
Yes, another whole topic, even bigger.
I think it is fair to say that every moral framework is based on the assumption that we have some free choices that we ought to make based on some moral judgements. If everything is deterministic, morality is meaningless.
Beyond this, it's very subjective.
 
do we really need to go there to tell whether H and C have a CA?
 
Well, free will is my explanation of the aspects of this world that seem counter to my claim that the lawmaker created stability preserving laws because he wants a stable world.
 
I mean
do we need to go all philosophical to determine whether H and C have CA?
 
It merely is part of why I pick my explanation as the simplest that accounts for everything in the world. It indirectly suggests that humans and chimps seem to be separate creations because everything that seems self-stable looks like a unit.
And if we cannot see a good reason for the lawmaker to create a CA and then let it diverge, then I wouldn't believe it as likely.
It is limited by my reasoning, but everything is anyway.
Anyway, I really have to go. It was very interesting talking to you, and hearing your thoughts and questions and objections.
 
5:43 PM
ok
 
So, see you next time, whether it be about logic or something else.
=)
 
see you
 
 
6 hours later…
11:35 PM
@user21820 there?
 

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