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Q: Isn’t everything absurdly improbable?

thinkingmanIsn’t every event by definition improbable in the sense that each event precedes an infinite series of causes that could have (theoretically atleast) been different? We think of someone winning five lotteries as extremely improbable and a rare event. But the probability of five different, specifi...

this has come up before i think, in context of why i am this exact person. can't find it now. i mean obviously the chances of anything exact happening is very low. is your conclusion that it isn't happening? it's a stats question
The chances of getting a heads is 50% and the chance of it landing right of front of you let's say 2/3. The chance of getting a heads is still 50%. Maybe you should read about logical operators like AND.
i must be the unluckiest man in the world. haha
Normally people speak of events coming after causes, not preceding them.
Easy. Statistical mechanics says no. Certain macroscopic events are just more likely. If a bunch of particles start in a corner of a box, we know with extreme confidence they will be more spread out in the future. The universe started in an analogous way.
@doot_s: Maybe..? 'If my parents hadn't gotten married, who would I be?' philosophy.stackexchange.com/questions/79017/…
i can't remember it, i think some new age self help quote, maybe eckhart tolle @CriglCragl ? anyway, the probability of being alive is alleged to be 1 in 10^2,685,000. hth everyone
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...each event precedes an infinite series of causes... An event is probable given a particular preceding series of events/causes ... duhh
how many "philosophers" does it take to answer a yes/no- question!? ... correct - ALL! ..with how many words??? Correct - ALL! 🤣😂🤣
An event matches the intuitive meaning of improbable if it's log probability is far higher than its kolmogorov complexity. For most sets of five people, the kolmogorov complexity of that set is similar to the log probability of them winning the lottery. The kolmogorov complexity of any single person is far lower than the log probability of them winning five times.
how many humans/words do we(humans) need? . exactly - ONE! human - me, word - it depends form my time/invest/"matter knowledge" and honesty -> "yes" (x) OR "no"!!😘 (no other words!)
too many words is like - too much 💩! (every word is source of "err"!)
@CriglCragl re: 'If my parents hadn't gotten married, who would I be?' (human, best effort, answer): HELL KNOWS! (no one knows!)😘
It's a mystery, guys!!!! ..but logic tries to hint us (me at least) : "eternal" is "the real"! and matter is "the ship" (Oooh ship is much better image ..also in terms of "vessel" ... than💩)
though (real, animal)💩 is also "valuable" (in some terms/matters/areas/...blahALL..for other animal..
get "good", "honest", humans! then you feel much better! I promise!😘 also/esp. HERE! as "cake pieces"
"destiny" only reveals after (the cranky) now! we (living human) are moving flows from past to future! destiny exists! ..but no human/animal can reveal it (to 100%) before now! we DO DESTINY! (in the cranky now) with our "motivations"!
@xerx593 "We'd rather have the iceberg than the ship, although it meant the end of travel."
that is "human live" "staying on the iceberg"...animals survive only by "instinct"/"random"/"(biol.)evolution"
and we sleep quite secure, considering we are(metaphorically): "small ants"...on a "hot bubbling iron heap" ..with "gas hull" ...surrounding a "giant fire ball"...in a vast nothing...with lots of (strange) matter, lights/beams and "dangers" !
"animal life" (but animals are less clever/greedy than human-animals!) means: just "mating the iceberg"
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O, AI, where is thy sting? O ChatGPT, where is thy victory?
@xerx593: You are not using comments appropriately. See guidance on when & when not to comment here: philosophy.stackexchange.com/help/privileges/comment This is not Reddit, please don't spam posts with irrelevant chatter. If you have your own points to make, put them in an answer.

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