Harry Braviner

"As a personal investor you have no real chance of beating the market." You certainly have a chance of beating the market. Pick a single stock from an SP500 company and I'd guess you have a modest (say, 30%) chance of it outperforming the SP500. But it's highly unlikely you have any strategy that reliably brings that probability into the 50%+ range.

@JustAGuy "Under the IIRIRA, there can't be any alien votes to count!" - Ok, this is what I'm getting at! There could be such votes, illegal though they would be under IIRIRA. Do you think that, because federal law makes the act of casting such a vote illegal, the state is prevented from tallying that vote for the purpose of selecting its electors?

@ohwilleke I'm aware that some other nations allow this: for example, any citizen of a Commonwealth country (or the Republic of Ireland) who is resident in the UK may vote in the UK's general elections.

Thank you for such a detailed answer. I wasn't even aware that IIRIRA might be unconstitutional. I'm also curious about your assertion that it's purely symbolic: New Hampshire's voting qualification ("every inhabitant of the state of 18 years of age and upwards") seems to allow alien voting. Notwithstanding its dubious constitutionality, do you have a view on whether IIRIRA would prevent states from choosing to count the votes of aliens?