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12:07 AM
@Oddthinking, another form of my criterion: wouldn't you say that "ordinary evidence" for an extraordinary claim would still satisfy P(e | h) >> P(e | not h)?
 
 
3 hours later…
2:46 AM
It would satisfy P(e | h) > P(e | not h), but not P(e | h) >> P(e | not h) - this is by definition.
 

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