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12:10 AM
I question everything about not just taking a screenshot here but I too now want to know what happened in this very specific Maine precinct, lol
Biden has a commanding lead in VA exit polling, whew
 
12:27 AM
@MadScientist It's at least a year away, from what I've heard.
 
Tim
I am heart broken
 
user15026
@TimStone Does she live there or something?
 
She lives in Hawaii, and was born in American Samoa, so afaik she's never lived anywhere near Maine. Not that that's a huge number of people to begin with or anything, but surprising given her numbers more generally
 
@BradC can we have Mr Nutter Butter go to the courts and present the Trump Campaign lawyers with a big check to the sum of "Eat Shit Trump"?
 
Maybe that cult she's associated with has a remote office, heh
 
user15026
12:32 AM
@TimStone That might be it :P
 
user15026
Strange little outlier, though
 
12:49 AM
Oh shit Bloomberg won American Samoa so he’s basically got the nomination
 
Tim
Is Biden popular in this chat room?
 
@Tim well Unionhawk doesn’t like him at all
I think he’d not be the best president out of the candidates, but I think he’s a great guy
 
Tim
That is not surprising. But I assume most here like him
Where do you get your live information?
 
his policies are progressive enough I think that they could reasonably be what Bernie could get done if he didn’t get rid of the filibuster
or the dems only get a 1-seat majority etc.
 
Tim
I get my live info here reddit.com/live/14ke5tc84la6b
 
1:04 AM
@Tim um... Dave Weigel and Aaron Rupar on twitter is one thing
for more live
But NY Times is where I get news mostly
 
Tim
The reddit link is the best I can find right now
Tonight is a heart breaking night
 
Joe Biden is a bad guy actually and I'd honestly be shocked if he won the general
Insert the far cry 3 monologue here
If there's a bad policy passed by the Senate in the past few decades, odds are Joe had a hand in it
 
Tim
I totally agree. He is an American sweetheart however
 
@Unionhawk people do really connect with him, I think he would definitely win
but that should not be the first criteria for who we nominate
 
Tim
The party establishment is tearing the party apart. They would prefer the president another four years over Bernie
 
1:12 AM
well not definitely win but he would have an equal/higher chance than Sanders of winning
 
Tim
I disagree
 
why?
 
Tim
I bet you haven't watch his debate performance
 
People are really trained in school and stuff to think that capitalism is a perfect system and changing it would be a travesty and cause an apocalypse or some shit
 
He's just the personification of the "better things aren't possible rally" post
 
1:13 AM
@Tim he had a good last debate
and a really nice victory speech in sc
 
Tim
He also has quite some things that the president will easily attack on
 
if he stays on-script he’s good at speeches
 
Tim
His last debate is his best, but not a good one
His records are disastrous
 
I feel like Bernie’s largest weakness by far is self-describing as a socialist
 
Tim
easily targeted by the president
I sometimes agree the label is a problem
sometimes I understand why Bernie insists on the label
 
1:16 AM
@Stormblessed I mean Obama didn't but it's not like it mattered
 
Bernie could essentially do the rhetoric of his speech on socialism from a few months ago but not say socialist so much and that would be a great strategy
more “this is what FDR, JFK, etc. wanted”, less socialism
that’s all my cents
 
Tim
When having self experienced or having witnessed many things happening to the unfortunate people, it is natural to lean towards the label
He already explained his definition of "democratic socialism" numerous times
particularly a whole speech dedicated to that last year at GWU
 
@Tim yes but my worry is that people will only see “socialism”, not the content of the speech, and run away in fear.
I don’t really know if I want Biden or Sanders to win the nomination more
 
Tim
He is using his campaign to change the misconception among the people
 
I’m leaning towards preferring Sanders definitely
 
Tim
1:21 AM
That is both good and risky
The media pundits pretend they don't hear, and continue mislabeling his movement
 
I finally found the article I was looking for, Joe Biden has a long history of giving republicans what they want
 
Tim
So does Warren
 
@Stormblessed Which is just kind of wild. The propaganda campaign the powerful have played against "socialism" is just absurdly effectively. The US population has basically been brainwashed into hating socialism.
 
Well, that's almost another issue entirely at this point
This is "including pretty recently"
 
Tim
The country doesn't deserve Sanders
 
1:28 AM
@Wipqozn yup; I’m not very old and I’m from a pretty liberal place, but I still learned about the “great thinkers” who wanted to have extreme capitalism with absolutely no government regulations in the 1700s in school
not critically at all really
I mean the governments in general sucked back in the 18th century but still fuck laissez-faire bs
 
Tim
The votes are heart breaking
 
@Tim it doesn’t seem like Biden is winning much more than it looked like a week ago or so imo
 
Tim
It does
 
Tim
The trend has changed upside down
see 538 forecast
 
1:33 AM
Wait what?
I did not see it
That is a fucking enormous jump
 
Like I said, the game at this point is to stop Joe.
 
how on Earth did that happen? Is James Clyburn really that powerful?
(From 538)
 
The far cry 3 monologue will continue until we all die of climate related injury or illness.
 
isn’t it great that Bloomberg can just buy his way in front of Warren, Klobuchar, Booker, Beto, and like 15 others with his money?
@Unionhawk sorry what was the monologue like?
 
Tim
1:38 AM
Hillary lost to Trump. Joe is Hillary 2.0
Trump's support is stronger than four years ago
 
i feel like the black vote makes this pretty different
and people actually knowing Trump could win
 
Tim
Incumbent president always has advantage
now just win over impeachment
 
I could definitely see Biden losing to Trump. The Dems lost because Hilary just represented more of the same, so blue voters didn't even bother coming out. Biden is the exact same
Just more of the same
 
I mean it sucks the reason why but the status of the economy, one of the reasons that he’s been favored to win, is plummeting
only that and incumbency were convincing reasons that he’d win
If markets stay this far down or worse I think that any democrat would likely win by a landslide
 
Tim
The democrat establishment prefers losing to Trump over changing status quo.
 
1:44 AM
Basically I like Biden and think he’d be a good president but don’t really feel like he’s significantly more electable than Bernie
 
Tim
The establishment of both parties are funded by the same mega donors, so they have to listen to what their donors want them to do
 
so go Bernie (?)
Ok the Democrats should move to the left but the republicans being in control is much more of the problem than any democrat
like climate
Establishment Democrats now really would do climate stuff because the voters really care
Republicans will not have any motive even if voters want them to until the gas/oil/coal companies are bankrupt/switch to renewables
 
Tim
Pete said himself progressive, attacked Biden, and then changed his narrative completely, and dropped out to endorse Biden. See, how effective his donors are
 
@Tim i think that that was that he realized that he decided that the left wouldn’t like him and then shifted all his positions to try to get votes, too
Old Pete was ok, new Pete sucked
He wanted to attack people in the debates and get attention
 
Tim
Bernie is not under the control of the elites, and can get the support of many people. That is once in a life time thing
Many progressive candidates in the past didn't get many support
didn't have much influence
 
1:56 AM
I am sympathetic to wanting dramatic change, I jay feel like the attacks on the establishment as a bunch of evil people is not being fair to some really accomplished people
To change stuff we need to not burn down everything else
 
Why
 
Tim
I think Bernie is not actually trying to burn down capitalism
He is quite moderate left
 
@Unionhawk because if we make a lot of people think the senate and house democrats are evil, they’ll think they shouldn’t vote for them
@Tim I’m speaking of the establishment dems
if they think “oh it doesn’t matter they’re all neolib shills” and don’t vote for them and we don’t get/keep seats in Maine, Colorado, New H., NC, Alabama, etc. Bernie can’t do anything at all
McConnell would make the whole term not have any legislation pass if the people who really want it to pass keep attacking those whom we need to pass it for us
 
Tim
The establishment persistently undermine the progressive movement, and they are asking for what they don't want
 
but if we don’t have them in the legislature we’ll never pass the most moderate of proposals
 
Tim
2:03 AM
Bernie has some street smart
 
I think people will evaluate based on where they're at
I'm lucky enough to have a senator who at least pretends to be on our side sometimes
 
Tim
He say things differently if you have noticed
He criticized the establishement and then called them friends
 
He's still a "I'm against universal healthcare right now but is medicare expansion to people 50+ good?" guy, but
 
Tim
He gave his plans to other senators so that his plans can have better chance to pass
 
Sherrod Brown is a very good one
He’s the type we need, who would vote for the important things
 
2:05 AM
you know I think if pushed slightly harder he'll prefer to keep his image as a guy who actually gives a shit
 
and still gets re-elected in Ohio
 
Tim
he made a lot of amendments.
He supported Dem candidates over Nader
Some progressive thought Bernie was not very trustworthy
 
@Tim ok what/who are you talking about? Sorry
 
Tim
Bernie
 
Amendments to what?
 
Tim
2:08 AM
house/senate bills
He is quite moderate
 
@Tim relative to what? You mean in other countries?
He’s moderate for a democratic socialist
 
Tim
He is a social democrat
He is not a democratic socialist
 
but that is off the charts of people who’ve been president
@Tim he literally calls himself one and is strongly supported by the big organization of them in the US
 
Tim
He can call him any thing, as long as he gives his definition
 
the distinction completely doesn’t matter to me, just if he can be elected
 
Tim
2:11 AM
by his definition, he is a social democrat
 
But he calls himself a democratic socialist and that is what the media says, so that is what people will hear and say
 
Tim
If he can be elected, I guess he will make some compromise, given that he is moderate
 
Now that I think about it in my understanding only his health care views are strictly socialist
Do agree?
 
Tim
social democracy
 
Yeah labeling on that is, complicated and disputed idk
 
2:15 AM
what was removed?
 
A typo duplicated by mobile
Sometimes mobile edits mess up and send the edit as a new message
 
Ugh I hate that glitch
Is it reported on Meta?
 
I don't know probably
Chat is pretty low on the backlog in general
 
But the socialist thing about healthcare seems pretty clear, with basically full government control of an industry
The college and climate stuff is just having a lot more government spending/regulation, not socialist
 
Tim
I am very heart broken right now
 
2:22 AM
shrug to be honest the line between socialism and social democracy is kind of blurry and who care, I think the essential sticking point is that it's still compatible with a capitalist health care industry? (not to be confused with the health finance industry)
 
Kenney's popularity continues to slide in latest Angus Reid poll cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/…
> The recent decline continues a downward trend for Kenney, who took office with a big majority and an Angus Reid approval rating of 61 per cent last June. The latest poll shows his approval dropping from 54 per cent to 47 per cent.
Maybe Alberta is actually paying attention to the terrible stuff he's doing
> In the latest survey of premiers, only one, Nova Scotia's Stephen McNeil, saw an increase in popularity, while Saskatchewan's Scott Moe and New Brunswick's Blaine Higgs saw no change in their approval ratings.
I find this surprising. That McNeil is up. Maybe more of the province supports his decision about the pulp mill than I thought.
I agree with it, but my job wasn't impacted by it, so easy for me to say.
 
Tim
bad news for bernie
good news for biden
Bloomberg is Bernie's "superpac"
The exit polls are disappointing for Bernie
Decided in the last few days via@CNNexit polls:

AL: 62% Biden, 13% Sanders
TN: 61% Biden, 16% Sanders
VA: 60% Biden, 17% Sanders
MN: 55% Biden, 21% Sanders
TX: 49% Biden, 21% Sanders
OK: 45% Biden, 17% Sanders
NC: 43% Biden, 22% Sanders
ME: 42% Biden, 19% Sanders
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk)March 4, 2020
The past 48 hours were nightmare for Sanders' supporters
 
2:47 AM
So it'll probably be Biden vs Trump
 
The first debate is going to be a push up contest and I'm going to die immediately
 
I mean maybe not only you so 🤷🏼‍♂️
Also looks like the Alabama Republican primary for Senate will likely go to a runoff that will include Sessions but not Roy Moore so at least things aren't maximally dumb
 
The Dems losing to Trump again would be a really impressive display of incompetence.
 
Yeah other than "nothing will fundamentally change" I literally couldn't tell you a policy he is proposing
 
@Wipqozn It's hard to say, we'll have to look at the turnout but it's not impossible that Biden can drag it across the line…it'll just not make anything better and everything will continue to be bad
Maybe marginally less dumb but still bad
Well correction, it will be dumb in new ways
We'll just be back in W Bush gaffe territory, like we're in a reboot of this show already somehow
 
3:10 AM
@Unionhawk It turns out the real American exceptionalism was our surprisingly strong commitment to not being exceptional
 
3:29 AM
Wtf
People screaming “let dairy die” ran onto Biden’s stage
 
Look whom amongst us hasn't mixed up their checks notes wife and sister?
 
How do they get there in the first place though
 
lol
There's been an oddly large number of uhh enthusiastic? environmental protestors at speeches recently
 
@Stormblessed This is a good question! Especially given his status as a former VP
 
3:39 AM
Very carefully, and I have been advised to provide nothing more per my lawyer ICE T
(this is unironically good legal advice)
 
Tim
@Unionhawk what is that?
wondering what was said improperly
 
I think the most important thing to remember today is that Bloomberg burned a half billion dollars to win American Samoa from Tulsi Gabbard and that's it, that's the post
 
4:14 AM
@Tim I'm pretty sure they're afraid of sanders because he can get things done
 
 
3 hours later…
6:49 AM
@Tim oh man, look at all those states that are more likely than not to go to trump in the general
i'm so excited that biden might win the texas primary, it really shows that he has the ability to capture the state in the general
 
 
4 hours later…
 
1 hour later…
12:09 PM
Further context to this is they're a hospital employee
Although a friend of mine who works in healthcare tells me a lot of healthcare workers are poorly educated on healthcare. so that's fun.
That said, main reason I'm linking this is because of an interesting observation made on the reddit post I found it on:
> There wasn't any hope to begin with.
> Here's the reality. A large portion of America can't afford 14 days without pay. They also might not be able to afford to go see a doctor to even tell if they have CV and not the flu. So they go to work with it. All it takes is one person out of the approximately 200m working class citizens in the US to go to a service industry job infected and the chain reaction starts. This shit is here to stay in the US. Only thing to be done now is weather it out and try to prevent the spread to the young, elderly, and immunocompromised.
reply to "I guess we can't stop the spread"
but it's a perfect example of how having most of your population living in poverty, and having shit healthcare system, is just a fucking terrible thing.
It's the same story for a LOT of Canadians working in retail, too, which are the most likely to spread viruses via going to work.
And we even run into similiar healthcare issues, not due to "I can't afford to see a doctor",but just due to underfunding resulting it in taking a while to just see the doctor.
IT'S GREAT
 
12:27 PM
@Wipqozn well good thing this stupid party is going with the "keep the shit healthcare system" guy
68,000 people per year
 
@Unionhawk Yup. A buddy of mine was asking me about Biden this morning. I told him that Biden essentially represents "More of the same". So well, he'll be better than Trump, but that's a low bar.
But that "more of the same" is a huge reason as to why Trump got elected... voters just say clinton as "more of the same" but they realy wanted change... so dems just didn't come out to vote.
So hopefully we don't get a repeat.
 
This idiot is going to lose to trump and blame me personally for it it's going to be awesome
We still got time but at this point it's really a game of stop Joe Biden
 
Yeah, they'll use the exact same tactics against biden. "Ukrain money!"
Basically the thing Trump got impeached for will be used to attack biden
@Unionhawk So obviously sander is your top pick. Who would be your second pick?
BAsically I'm wondering if there's any candidate you like other than sanders. I don't know enough about them to really have an opinion. I mean aside form BLoomberg. But I'm not american so that makes sense.
 
@Wipqozn I mean Warren but at this point that's obviously not going to happen
As a pretty distant 2, also
 
12:42 PM
@Unionhawk She's the one that didn't step down, only to then not even win her home state, right?
 
I believe she got third place in Massachusetts yes
 
Tim
1:03 PM
The party difference makes no difference
So essentially the same
I really need to stay away for a while although I haven't.
Happy Wednesday!
 
1:50 PM
Well good news is that Cigna Corp, UnitedHealth Group Inc, and Anthem Inc are all up about 9% pre-market (DOW is up about 2% pre-market)
 
ugh I hate that this went from so many people, with a ton of moderates, five or so liberals, and then they're picking Biden
 
These are the companies that will make you pay if actually your coronavirus is just influenza, it's cool
 
I know that he dropped out forever ago and nobody probably knows who he is outside of Washington but Inslee was cool because he really actually cares about the climate
Like healthcare currently is fucked up but continuing not focusing on the climate is going to cause such extremely irreversible damage.
hmm
i'm not sure how that is an insurmountable lead
it still could just have been a very good night for Biden
(I have no idea what I'm talking about btw)
 
About 60% to go, it's not over
also no count I've seen is consistent, the one I'm looking at is -56
Joe 459, Sanders 403, Bloomberg 46, Warren 34 is what I'm looking at, idk what accounts for the difference
that inconsistency makes 0 sense
This is far from over though.
 
2:27 PM
I'm just going by what google says, which is Sanders -71, and looks to be the same as what @Stormblessed posted.
 
@Unionhawk How many states are left?
 
Also, psst, Elizabeth, you should drop out now and throw your support behind Bernie. As much as I want you to be the next president, my second choice is Bernie. I think Joe might be able to beat Trump head to head, but that doesn't account for third party spoilers, which I think would be a bigger factor for Joe than Bernie.
 
@Wipqozn I believe over 30
 
Yeah about half
 
@Unionhawk maybe some counts aren't done so projections vary?
 
2:32 PM
That's what I'm thinking yeah
 
or the source hasn't been updated since some time last night and they're done now
 
Nearly 2/3 of delegates and more than half the states.
 
@MBraedley star
warren would be a great president and she's awesome, but it's totally impossible now
I wonder why Bernie won by so much in Utah
Super conservative state in the real elections, so it’s weird
Like Biden did really well in a lot of the south, in very conservative places like Oklahoma
 
It appears that Pelosi will have to face a progressive challenger in the general
Despite California's jungle primary system, she has never faced another democrat in the general
 
3:07 PM
So apparently markets jumped by 600 points at the bell after Super Tuesday
 
Yeah, with health finance stocks up in the neighborhood of +9% and +14% (DOW was about +2% at open)
 
8 hours ago, by Yuuki
@Tim oh man, look at all those states that are more likely than not to go to trump in the general
i'm a texan and i personally believe that my state should count for peanuts in the democratic primary
and you can quote me on that until we finally elect a democrat in a statewide race again
 
Bloomberg is stepping down. Backing Biden.
 
oh man, after pulling such a landslide victory in checks notes American Samoa?
 
3:25 PM
@Yuuki The fact that he made tulsi gabbard sad by winning in the place she was born is enough to excuse the huge waste of money and erosion of democracy tbh
 
It's good that Bloomberg stepped down. Now, let's hope he upholds his statement from when he first entered that he'll use his fortune to help the Democratic candidate get elected
 
he’s said quite a lot of times he’d support Bernie in the general
So he seems pretty sure he wants to at least appear to plan to
He hates Trump so much and wants mainly to annoy him I’m quite sure he’ll keep his word
 
Tim
4:27 PM
Not really. Bernie and Mike have announced that won't happen
Sincerely hope Bernie could consider run as an independent
So much effort and resource that have been put into the campaign could be continued
Both parties' elites are not scared of each other as much as they are of Bernie
It is more likely Bernie will do better in general election than in this primary
 
@Tim Yeah, that would just guarantee Trump winning in the general.
 
Tim
4:43 PM
Yeah, might underestimate the loyalty of the base of the democratic party
 
I'm fairly frustrated at the willful ignorance that many of states Biden is winning in the primary are states that he almost definitely wouldn't win in the general.
 
Tim
It is already hard for Bernie's campaign to call out independent to vote
without democrat base, it could be more difficult
The party's elites are basically in the same interest as their opponent party's elites, so they would rather have the president re-elected
 
@Tim More like overestimating. The Democratic "base" is notoriously fragmented. I could almost guarantee that a significant number would pull away from the party nominee to vote for Bernie if he ran independent. You could see it in this chatroom. The issue is that then an independent Bernie and Democratic Biden would split a left-ish base. This, of course, is ignoring the number of people who just wouldn't vote for Biden in the first place.
 
Tim
Hope Bernie's campaign could continue everything they are doing to invoke the nonvoters and independents. They already laid out the foundation
They need more time and trial and error to do that
 
Tim
5:10 PM
Some states don't allow that third-way possibility.
Forgot where I saw it
some post on politics.stackexchange.com
24
Q: Is there any rule or law stopping Bernie Sanders from running as a third party candidate?

Björn LindqvistThis is a yes or no question. If the answer is yes, please explain why. If the answer is no, please explain how come. Note that I'm not asking whether it would be wise, immoral, stupid or "virtually guaranteeing Trump a victory" only if he has the option (so please leave opinion out).

 
 
1 hour later…
6:36 PM
A bit late but here:
 
7:35 PM
@Yuuki Haha
 
@MBraedley All of this
 
8:01 PM
Ontario has almost entirely backed down on two of the most contentious issues in bargaining with teachers – class sizes and e-learning requirements. toronto.citynews.ca/2020/03/03/…
Strikes work, folks
 
@Wipqozn I thought the whole point was that they don't?
 
@Yuuki OH YOU
 
9:07 PM
Nova Scotia's Regional Centres for Education have issued a province-wide ban on all international school trips amid concerns of the COVID-19 outbreak, Education Minister Zach Churchill announced Wednesday. cbc.ca/news/canada/nova-scotia/…
 
9:40 PM
@Wipqozn Yes, but, you're more likely to get infected going to Vancouver than you are going to Boston. Or the UK, or most parts of Europe.
 
Tim
10:28 PM
Hope you feel better, BradC
 
Oh, I feel much better with encouraging headlines like this:
or.... maybe not
 
Nothing firm yet:
> All of us have worked for Elizabeth long enough to know that she isn’t a lifetime politician and doesn’t think like one. She’s going to take time right now to think through the right way to continue this fight. There’s a lot at stake for this country and the millions of people who are falling further and further behind.
 
Tim
Bernie probably already knew he wouldn't be able to get his endorsement
Bernie said he respected the time and space Liz needed to think it through
BradC, will you vote according to Liz's endorsement or your own decision?
if she drops out
 
10:45 PM
@BradC I don't even know who that is
@Unionhawk John McAfee's facebook posts have been a whirlwind lately
He's an... interesting guy
 
lately?
 
I guess I've only started following and/or seeing? them again lately
 
I'm about 70% convinced that McAfee's been on a persistent decades-long cocaine rager since he left his company in the mid-90s.
 
If this is that "how to uninstall mcafee software" video that he made, there is NSFW content, IIRC (snorting white powder and women in bikinis).
 
10:52 PM
right... yeah
 
11:09 PM
@Tim My state primary is next Tuesday, so we will see what happens. And if she does drop out, I'll certainly listen to what she says, but I'll make up my own mind as far as who to vote for in the primary. Obviously for the general I'll vote for whoever is not Trump
 
11:35 PM
> ...the country's third-largest party
well that is one way to put it
is this Vermin Supreme guy a joke or an actual libertarian? I can't quite understand which
 
I think both
I believe he's a libertarian party libertarian socialist caucus guy too
 
@Tim except
> I am a proud Trump Republican
so there's Trump Republican and the rest then i guess
 

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