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so 15 hours to what...
 
user30
Gabe knows
 
2:49 AM
Noon EST...hmmm
Will be done with classes then and omw home :P
 
 
18 hours later…
user30
8:54 PM
3:30am UTC, Wednesday 19th April.
 
user30
Okay, sod that, it's changing all the bleeding time
 
9:24 PM
in The Bridge, 1 hour ago, by Thomas McDonald
@failbadp http://www.hasportal2launchedyet.com/, http://www.coughlandesign.com/portal/
 
user30
Bah, all the cool people are making Portal 2 predictors
 
The problem with these is they're kinda dumb on quantization errors
they should only update the prediction when the percentage actually changes
 
user30
So the prediction is updated based on % and current time.
 
yeah
got x.xx% in y hours; how many hours for 100%?
 
user30
Rather than triggering a recalc when % changes?
 
user30
9:34 PM
Seems to have jumped to really early all of a sudden
 
if x,xx% changes (say) every minute and you recalc every 5 seconds
 
user30
Guessing the percentage just changed
 
then you have 11/12 dummy updates where the time estimate goes up although you don't really have new data to work with
until you do get an update, then the estimation drops down again
 
user30
Right, lets fix stuff.
 
Can Tom fix eeet? Yes, he can!
 
user30
9:36 PM
Oh my.
 
user30
:)
 
See? finally the pct went up to 7.49%
Now the release is projected at Tuesday at 4:40am
although @ThomasMcDonald if you're going for correctness
you should track each progress bar independently
and the potato multiplier growth as well
which is probably going to be tricky to take in account
 
user30
 
user30
^ done for me.
 
user30
Well, bar the individual bar tracking
 
user30
9:51 PM
Ah wait, it does have individual game tracking. Check the select at the top.
 
Where did you get previous data?
oh right you didn't
 
user30
Nah, found it in IRC, saves me doing it ;)
 
Bad news
> Killing Floor: At the current rate this game is estimated full in 323:14:35 hours - 1.778% - 5556 CURRENT CPU
 
user30
Yeah.
 
We just have to hope that filling one will help filling the others quicker
We'll know in 8 hours?
 
user30
9:54 PM
yah
 
user30
I have like 5 tabs open of glados@home, it appears
 
I come with the same offer as @Brant, I have a Portal Gift Code if anybody requires it.
 
user30
I also have two copies.
 
wat
Portal 2 is not indie in the slightest
 
user30
@failbadp Heh.
 
user30
10:00 PM
That cpucount is pretty nifty.
 
user30
It's amazing how begging for games is now considered acceptable.
 
user30
Potato description has changed from "Challenge completion" to "Auxiliary power"
 
10:49 PM
I'd imagine the problem with most of those calculators is that they're forecasting the completion time as though everyone has all the games and would happily play any of them
e.g. if all but one game doesn't make it, then it still won't happen ("Killing Floor At the current rate this game is estimated full in 333:14:27 hours - 2%")
 
People are fanatics, they'll idle at the title screen if they have to.
 
And which of them are account for the CPUs is a full bar? (e.g. TWEOTW has ~4000 total to complete, while KF has probably 100k)
 
Hmm, according to that graph, the number of total "CPU"s is constant?
 
user30
11:31 PM
Portal blog updated
 

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