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9:00 PM
@Seth Unlikely. But if it's manual at all, they might notice.
Everyone wants money; everyone is optimizing for more money. Whether they're technical about it or not.
 
What would be really interesting would be to see what happens if you squeeze SO really hard
 
"really hard"
Like six flags hard?
 
The moderator in me revolts at that.. but the scientist wants to try.
 
I could probably stay up late a couple nights to handle any false positives.
 
At 400+ weight cast 6?
 
9:03 PM
That would be fun to watch
time for some popcorn.
 
@Mithrandir heck, 280 would be good enough
If I'm watching it.
 
you can certainly do on SO since you mod it @Undo
higher on others
 
One of twenty. Would ask first, doubt there would be too much pushback.
also might have to start coffee.
 
Spammer posts > insta-delete
 
Tag team with Bhargav
 
9:05 PM
Yeah, could find someone in a good timezone
 
Madara is in my timezone, I know that much
 
We could have a decent chance of outpacing even an automatic verification system. Last I checked, we could get flags on posts within three seconds
can barely get photons from India to the US in three seconds
 
I like it!
 
Should probably check with Shog first though :P
 
@Undo that's if you use a 0.1c medium
0.05
 
9:10 PM
The holy grail would be to delete fast enough that the red banner shows on the page before the spammer hits 'ask question' again. That'd be... discouraging.
 
[ SmokeDetector | MS ] Bad NS for domain in answer: How to have my PHP Send mail? by Tushar Soni on askubuntu.com
tpu- by Jarko Dubbeldam
New metasmoke user 'Codingale' created
 
@SmokeDetector K probably
 
@M.A.R. Sure? Link looks legit
 
JAD
hmm...
btw, is there any need for renaming my MS account to reflect (changed) SE username?
 
yeah, they're just using namecheap.
@JAD It'd probably be a good idea
 
JAD
9:14 PM
done
 
@SmokeDetector f
 
Conflicting feedback on How to have my PHP Send mail?.
 
@Undo I have no expertise in anything close to what's being discussed there, but everything has code except the answer, and the answer seems useless without the link
 
JAD
@SmokeDetector f
 
Conflicting feedback on How to have my PHP Send mail?.
 
9:14 PM
Old, leave it
 
Conflicting feedback on How to have my PHP Send mail?.
Conflicting feedback on How to have my PHP Send mail?.
 
K
 
boom bam boom beem
 
@SmokeDetector F
 
JAD
@Mithrandir yeah, my initial tpu feedback missed the post date
 
9:14 PM
@SmokeDetector autoflagged
 
@WELZ That post was not automatically flagged by metasmoke.
 
don't forget to retract your flags
 
@JAD all those little details
 
JAD
yep, did
@M.A.R. kinda surprised FIRE doesn't show post date tbh
 
@WELZ Some mods do not like that. All over meta right now xD
 
9:15 PM
any reason i should retract my flag? i still think that post is spam
 
meh
 
JAD
@K.Dᴀᴠɪs uh, I don't think retracting flags is what they have issue with
 
Should flag for mod: "This answer is wrong. Please kindly do the needful."
 
I would say naa, though the main part of the answer is still there
 
JAD
@M.A.R. that's no mod's job though
 
9:16 PM
there's no answer
it's a link and a teaser to visit the link
 
you're right
 
"all you need is THREE SIMPLE STEPS visit this link now to find out more"
 
askubuntu.com/a/751771/200337 links to the same site, same author
 
@doppelgreener right
 
very generic and maybe even plagiarized
 
9:17 PM
tpu- by doppelgreener
Conflicting feedback on How to have my PHP Send mail?.
Conflicting feedback on How to have my PHP Send mail?.
 
oooh lmao
 
JAD
@Undo that one looks more like an answer tbh
 
I'm not in a position to answer rightnow. Can someone get this?
How are posts being evaluated spam/not spam for calculating accuracy? And how is 99.99% meaningful? .01% is less than the margin of error. How correlated are human false positives? What impact does reputation have on posts being marked as spam? — Acccumulation 20 mins ago
 
@Undo that one's fine
@Andy "less than the margin of error" sounds like they're applying the science litmus test of 5% which isn't relevant here?
 
I am a pacifist. Just flagged as NAA
 
JAD
@doppelgreener the margin of error
also, the 5% thing is not a margin of error
but ugh, people and understanding statistics
 
yeah i just, i am not sure what thing they're referring to
 
@Andy Something like "As you say, 1 in 30,000 (or even less) is a tiny percentage, so we don't have data on human false positives on these posts. They just don't happen often enough. Reputation is already taken into account on the 100.00% number; higher reputation (anything above 1) is a strong indicator of a post not being spam."
 
The Grand Unifying Margin of Error has not yet been discovered by the Priests of Statistic, hallowed be her name
 
Yep. Statistics does look like a religion
Albeit a subtle one
Have you noticed the similarities between an atheist and Christian wordboxing and a Trump and Hillary candidate fan fighting over numbers?
 
9:25 PM
fp- by doppelgreener
 
@SmokeDetector F
 
@Accumulation As you say, 1 in 30,000 (or even less) is a tiny percentage, so data on human false positives on posts in this level of accuracy just doesn't exist. Reputation is already taken into account on the 100.00% number; higher reputation (anything above 1) is a strong indicator of a post not being spam and excludes it from many checks. All told, only 25 posts were autoflagged from users with >= 2 repUndo 11 secs ago
 
[ SmokeDetector | MS ] Phone number detected in title: turbotax customer service+18448002457turbotax phone number by dharma production on stackoverflow.com
 
@M.A.R. i try to notice all of those things as little as possible
 
tpu- by WELZ
 
@WELZ Cannot find data for this post in the API. It may have already been deleted.
 
@SmokeDetector K it's that time of the year
Hold on. It's not that time of the year. It's probably not Christmas
 
Wow, looks like Smokey is doing really badly on Vegetarianism as well as Bioinformatics: metasmoke.erwaysoftware.com/sites/…
I guess there must be something about those sites that generates FPs. Nutrients being on-topic and whatnot.
@Riker You guys going to ask to change anything with Smokey over there too?
 
New metasmoke user 'mevans' created
 
@Randal'Thor Not 'badly' - just the incoming signal isn't as good. Autoflagging only got one FP there.
 
9:29 PM
@Randal'Thor nutrients, and weight loss
 
JAD
and working out
 
SmokeDetector goes for 0% false negatives, autoflagging goes for 0% false positives. It's easy to read that page wrong.
 
@SmokeDetector so is that M.Evans or MeVans?
 
@Undo I know that :-)
 
JAD
@M.A.R. or MevAns
 
9:30 PM
@Undo that FP is really bloody though
 
But "autoflagging only got one FP" is already a really bad thing, IMO.
@M.A.R. Aren't blacklisted words customised per site though?
 
... also, that one FP wouldn't be flagged now. System has evolved in the last four months.
(click 'eligible flaggers' on metasmoke.erwaysoftware.com/post/94047/flag_logs, there are none)
 
@JAD Or M.E.Vans. OMG
 
Bioinformaticcs data: metasmoke.erwaysoftware.com/sites/… (Past 6 months: 5 posts, 5 FPs, nothing else)
 
JAD
@M.A.R. endless possibilities
 
9:32 PM
Someone salvage this urgent situation now
 
@doppelgreener None flagged, valuable data for knowing what not to do.
 
@Randal'Thor someone should do the customizing
If you don't add the rule, it's not customized
 
[ SmokeDetector | MS ] Potentially bad keyword in answer: Kernel Data Inpage Error by Abigail Vaughan on superuser.com
 
@SmokeDetector fishy
Very fishy
Can someone confirm it's spam?
 
@doppelgreener Isn't "past 6 months" equal to "all time"?
It's a very young site.
 
9:35 PM
@SmokeDetector why
 
@M.A.R. Body - Position 318-337: errorsolutions.tech, Position 409-428: errorsolutions.tech
fp- by doppelgreener
 
@Randal'Thor don't know
 
@doppelgreener The point is that SD attempts to catch all possible spam, which include FPs.... But only autoflags all true spam. The "possible" spam goes in this chat for quick review
 
we've had 2 reports with that link (same user)
 
@K.Dᴀᴠɪs yeah the situation there is fine
 
9:35 PM
@WELZ thank you
@SmokeDetector K
 
Conflicting feedback on Kernel Data Inpage Error.
 
@WELZ hm, that's more fishy
@SmokeDetector k
 
@M.A.R. but it says in "our" guides.
 
"i found a website..." in one of those posts
 
None of those really help
@doppelgreener more fishy
 
9:36 PM
@WELZ i'm K'ing it on the basis it's not a good quality answer: without the link it's not an adequate answer at all
 
Dang, so much seafood
Phosphorus is good for everyone else and not for me.
 
I'm just not gonna feedback, but flag as naa
 
the spam guidelines: (a) post your link as part of an otherwise good quality answer, and (b) disclose affiliation. people are expected to pass both bars.
 
And seafood lacks Vitamin C
 
@SmokeDetector naa-
 
9:37 PM
New metasmoke user 'jhpratt' created
 
So is it Vitamin C or vitamin C?
vITAMIN c
 
@M.A.R. C
 
@rene that solves everything
 
Vitamin C++
 
JAD
Vitamin C#, way more modern
 
9:39 PM
You might have answered the P N(P) problem, rene
 
JAD
Imma call that jinx
 
Yep.
 
@M.A.R. sure. yw.
 
@rene I get 20 percent of the money you get for solving it, BTW
 
That's a lotta money.
 
9:47 PM
@M.A.R. You can get 20 percent of my profit/loss balance.
 
@Randal'Thor fine, I'll give you 20 grand to stay silent
 
New metasmoke user 'mootrichard' created
 
@SmokeDetector sounds moot
Bah dum tiss
 
Treebeard once made a moot point at the Entmoot.
 
@Randal'Thor mootopia
 
9:50 PM
[ SmokeDetector | MS ] Shortened URL in answer: HPLIP Drive in Elementary by William on elementaryos.SE
 
@Randal'Thor I doubt that.
 
@SmokeDetector f
 
@SmokeDetector i've suggested a revision
 
@SmokeDetector F
Elementar yos
 
L.M.N. Taryos
 
9:52 PM
@tripleee you use Bottle, right?
 
@doppelgreener Mind if I steal this wording for the site dash?
 
L.M.N. t'R.E. OS
 
@thesecretmaster that was my intention
 
Ok. If someone else isn't already doing it, I will.
 
as captain jack would say: raid, pillage, plunder and otherwise pilfer your weasely black guts out.
 
9:54 PM
@Randal'Thor What're these Random letters?
 
> savvy?
 
Element tree ooze
 
@doppelgreener As Captain Jack would say: "Excellent bottom. ... What, can't I say hello to anyone?"
Oh, wrong Captain Jack.
 
@Randal'Thor hahaha
 
10:08 PM
inkscape will do, i've been fiddling with it a bit. but i'll need to do the rest of planning out the infographic tomorrow
 
inkographic?
 
yes that
context, also:
3 hours ago, by doppelgreener
I think y'all would benefit from an infographic showing a bunch of posts arriving, being pulled out to smokedetector, being given to human reviewers which train algorithms, and those algorithms prompt when flags should get a few automatic flags to start with.
i'm gonna work out how to lay it out then work out how to make it look pretty. it'll be focused on tall and narrow, so that it can fit in stack posts.
(it won't be very tall, but it'll be taller than wide)
 
fp- by doppelgreener
 
@SmokeDetector f
@SmokeDetector why
 
@Randal'Thor Post - faucetastic.fun NS suspicious dns1.namecheaphosting.com.,dns2.namecheaphosting.com.
 
10:15 PM
NS?
Neta Smoke?
 
@Randal'Thor Nameserver
 
New metasmoke user 'rollstuhlfahrer' created
 
i.e. the service that hosts the domain name
namecheaphosting seems to be connected to a lot of spammy sites
 
New metasmoke user 'Etienne' created
 
10:40 PM
More trivia than anything else, but... I got curious
% of spam flags that actually result in the flagged post being spam-deleted, by site:
                Site                 PctSpamFlagsEffective
------------------------------------ ---------------------
Stack Overflow                                     62.88 %
Super User                                         96.12 %
Server Fault                                        85.6 %
Stack Apps                                         95.27 %
Seasoned Advice                                     77.2 %
Home Improvement                                    90.5 %
Game Development                                   76.47 %
(that's markedly different from the % of flags that are marked "helpful" or which are attached to deleted posts in some way)
 
Whoa... Ask Patents at the top??
Of course Drupal second, not much of a surprise
 
@Shog9 graphic design 98.97% wow
 
@Shog9 Actually, the strong variation is quite impressive and it would make sense to think about the reasons for some sites.
@Randal'Thor I don’t speak more than a few words Spanish, but I would take a look at the wording of the flag.
 
It and Portuguese tend to have spam stick around for a long time. Doesn't help that Smokey has ridiculously huge queue sizes on it (not sure why)
 
10:46 PM
take these with a grain of salt. They don't differentiate between the first flag on a post, the only flag on a post, and a post that got 6 flags but was later disputed by a moderator.
actually... Lemme regenerate this, there's an edge-case involving that last thing
waffles
...too many windows open
 
@Wrzlprmft I'd guess a lot of lower percentages are due to site mods who don't know about the effect of the mod red-flag and simply delete spam-flagged posts.
It's pretty counter-intuitive for a mod to be raising flags instead of handling them.
 
@Randal'Thor Right, that could be.
@WELZ I am not too surprised. We get lots of blatant spam, little borderline spam, and we don’t have idiots who flag everything as spam that they don’t like.
@Shog9 On how much time is this based? The percentages on some sites suggest that there were only a handful of flagged posts in total.
 
@Wrzlprmft oh, yeah - this is just the last 365 days.
 
@quartata isn't GD top?
 
yes it is I misread
followed by workplace and AU, then Ask Patents
 
10:57 PM
@WELZ Astrononomy is top with 99.00 % followed by Graphic Design with 98.97 %. (Gotta find that idiot who raised that one flag that made the difference and suspend them …)
 
New metasmoke user 'Anko' created
 
@Wrzlprmft Lmao
 
Astronomy I suspect gets so much spam because it's first in alphabetic order of the non 1.0 sites
(probably skip 3D printing because they don't expect numbers in the subdomains)
...wait no, academia is first
huh
beats me then
 
My bet is that some spammers were successful in the past with their spam staying hours or days and they remember.
 
@Undo Is there a particular reason why an out-of-context "please do ignore SFF" is pinned to the top of the star-board?
 
11:06 PM
Shog wants us to focus on the MSE post first
(plus it was starting to get under our skin a bit and we needed someone to tell us off)
 
Made @Shog9 's list ordered by highest percentage to lowest bit.ly/2I8FhW6
 
New metasmoke user 'Christian Dean' created
 
11:23 PM
@Randal'Thor context: people kept mentioning SFF's meta. right now it's not the issue we need to be focused on, is the idea. plus you need space to work out whatever you're going to work out, don't need us crowding your meta again.
 
@doppelgreener Gotcha, thanks. Out of context it seemed kinda dismissive of our site, but that makes more sense.
 
That.
 
(although there have also been some less-than-polite comments about SFF and its community in here - I've even deleted one or two from the transcript)
 
@Randal'Thor and that is also why we need to heed that advice right now
 
@Randal'Thor Please... don't do that. Ping me or Art instead; that's a good way to ignite something no one wants to deal with.
 
11:29 PM
(I get that some users were being pretty annoying for you, and that this room can be a tough place to moderate, but ... well, I've written about this elsewhere, and have tried to enforce it in other rooms in the past)
@Undo Ping you here or in TL? Silent deletion seemed to me to be the best way not to start an argument out of it, but of course you know this room better than I.
 
1359 new messages whistles
 
CI on c78054b succeeded. Message contains 'autopull', pulling...
[ SmokeDetector ] SmokeDetector started at rev 782fad3 (SmokeDetector: Auto watch of go4trial\.com by iBug --autopull) (running on teward/Solar Flare)
Restart: API quota is 7626.
[ SmokeDetector | MS ] Offensive answer detected: Difference between earlier, recently, and lately by user70776 on ell.SE
 
@Randal'Thor Probably, but deletion from me is going to be received better than someone 'not involved'. I trust your judgement; I'm just in a better place to shut down dissent.
 
@SmokeDetector n
 
(basically, 90% chance of not starting an argument by silently deleting... But that 10% is going to be really ugly.)
 
11:39 PM
tpu- by K.Dᴀᴠɪs
tpu- by K.Dᴀᴠɪs
 
@Randal'Thor sorry about that. I said this on MSFF yesterday, but... I really didn't want the folks here doing this on every meta site. The concerns that've been raised thus far are almost universally applicable to every site; it's a much better use of everyone's time if they're discussed and addressed once.
 
@Undo Fair. There's also the risk of me being seen as biased because I'm from SFF. I just ... really couldn't face another exhausting discussion, after already having had to handle those comment threads on meta.SFF, about the whys and hows of the appropriateness of things said in here. Especially since some of the people concerned were mods, so even pinging you in TL wouldn't necessarily avoid that debate.
 
Understand, no harm done
 
11:43 PM
I can't stop y'all from discussing this on MSFF, but... As much as is possible, that should not be the focus of the SD team, this room, or the general strategy going forward - it's just not workable.
 
@Shog9 Sure. I've tried to steer the debate on SFF meta towards "what do we want / not want Smokey doing on this site specifically" rather than a more general "are bots and autoflags bad"-type discussion.
 
@Randal'Thor which is helpful, thanks.
 
Yep, that was really good. The "bots are bad" thing wasn't going to do any favors.
 
But even with that, please do keep in mind that any concerns that have merit are probably not isolated to the folks on SFF. Turning it off on SFF doesn't placate users on SU, or SA, or AU, or EL&U, or...
 
And I looked at site-specific concerns in my answer there, although a lot of it ended up concluding that there aren't really any SFF-specific issues.
 
11:47 PM
The entire point of having a massive featured discussion on MSE - which we/I have to coordinate and moderate - is to get all this out in the open; all the objections and fears and misinformation and unanticipated concern and trolling and whatever - and try as much as possible to address it once rather than doing it once for every site ever created now or in the future.
 
@Shog9 I do think that medium-sized sites in general - big enough to have many active users and flaggers, not SO-scale so that new content disappears in moments - don't get much benefit from autoflagging. But trying to have that debate on main meta brings in so many different factions with different views.
You have to worry about the whole network. Most of us just worry about our own individual sites ;-)
 
@Shog9 I pulled some numbers on SO a while back for 18 autoflagged false positives, looking at how many of them received bad manual flags. Any reason I can't share that single number replying to meta.stackexchange.com/questions/307585/…? It'd help show an order of magnitude, at least
 
@Randal'Thor see... That's a concern that's been raised a number of times. And it would be helpful to address it.
 
I'd just do it but it's information obtained through manual mod-timeline snooping.
 
@Undo no reason
 
11:49 PM
@Randal'Thor Where do you get that info, though? Lots of it disappears in moments because of the autoflagging and the users in here manually flagging it.
 
k, thanks
 
some medium sized sites (like PPCG) are bad at handling spam because the votes get split across spam flags/delete votes. It's useful there
 
So... for anyone interested here, the number is two.
 
that is a boring number
 
2/18 false positives on SO were autoflagged and later received manual flags.
 
11:49 PM
What's the reason weights like
 
low
 
@Randal'Thor y'know... I made a passing comparison yesterday to the vaccination debate for a reason...
 
+/- 1 because it was a manual process and I'm a dog and don't have hands.
 
@Catija It's more of a gut feeling than a hard statistic. Worth bearing in mind, though, that it can be hard to tell how quickly a site's active users would get rid of spam when they never get a chance because Smokey/Charcoal are so efficient.
Think of ... a site where mods closehammer every off-topic question.
 
Hardware Recs, yeah
 
11:51 PM
The community has the ability to close these questions themselves, but they get lazy because the mods are always doing it.
 
@Randal'Thor I'm really sorry but I don't understand why you even want your regular users to have to deal with this in the first place... They should be doing actual site stuff, not looking at links to penis enlargements and creepy apps for stalking your girlfriend.
 
@Randal'Thor The autoflagging experiment gives you some insight into that - look at the 1 bar.
 
It's impossible to prove that the community would close them by themselves, because they never have a chance due to the swiftness of the mods.
 
Closing is a whole different story
 
(which, by the way, I need to regenerate sometime with new data)
 
11:52 PM
@quartata It's an analogy :-)
 
@Undo you got my stats right?
 
ummmm
Email or something?
 
I've seen even mods just delete spam instead of spam flagging it...
 
@Undo wanna deploy MS so the next dump has the right data in it?
 
@Catija Did I say that I want regular users to have to deal with this?
 
11:53 PM
@ArtOfCode ... the right data?
@Randal'Thor Some people here make the jump.
 
@Undo no I pinged you (I think)
 
@Undo right format. I'm a migration or three ahead of prod at the moment.
 
oh
Laptop is ded, I'll just re-run the dump after I deploy.
 
tl;dr 4 vs 5 flags p = 0.005, 3 vs 4 flags p = 0.03
 
Some regular users do, though. Some people feel that part of the moderation of their site is being taken away from them.
Personally I don't much care who flags spam; I'm more worried about practical things like the possibility of mistaken flags.
 
11:55 PM
@Randal'Thor Your ambivalence to autoflagging at all sort of implies that you'd rather your own users handle it... sure.
 
@Catija Autoflagging =/= CHQ flagging.
 
@Randal'Thor Hypothetically, suppose you could pick a number of false positives per timeframe you were happy with, only constraint being > 0. What would it be?
 
Look, this is why it's best to discuss the value to the network not any one site. Nobody needs tool-assisted flagging until they get slammed, and then it's kinda too late to discuss.
 
On a "n/year scale". Like 0.5/year.
 
If a bunch of 101-rep people who know a lot about spam help to keep my site free of it, fine. (As long as there's shitloads of oversight and accountability and whatnot, which CHQ has.)
 
11:58 PM
@Undo Wait! If you're deplying, please have a look at my PR first :)
 
@Randal'Thor Getting rid of Autoflagging means that more flaggers have to actually be in here to flag. So, in this case, turning it off leaves more work for your site's users.
 
@Catija Aren't there always people in here to flag? It's one of the busiest rooms on the entire network.
 
no. We don't just do auto flagging as a convenience thing
 
@Randal'Thor Getting 6 has always been a challenge, even pre-autoflagging. Stuff used to get missed and live hours.
 
@Randal'Thor No, there aren't. The number of posts that end up in The Tavern after five minutes of being unhandled pretty much tells me that quite often there aren't even three people in here, let alone six.
 

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